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September 07, 2009

SoulStocks: Rethinking

So my portfolio was down about 300 dollars last week. The most troubling part of the drop was that I should have only been down 200 but after looking more closely at my options, I realized that I never had a much money as I once thought. First off, Sharebuilder seems to make you sell options at the lowest price (the "Bid" price) and buy them at the top dollar (the "Ask" price). So not only are you overpaying for options but when it says your option is worth X amount of dollars, it is saying what the Ask price is, but that is less (sometimes significantly less) than what you can actually sell the option for.

The other issue is the reason that I'm starting to take my money out of sharebuilder. There quotes for options are ridiculously slow to update. I get that they aren't real time quotes but they only update the prices once a day and even then they sometimes don't have the right price listed on your main page. While the service is fine if you just want to invest monthly in a certain stock or two, it's horrible with options.

I've been looking for a new broker and right now I'm going to try OptionsXpress. It's a little more expensive per trade but it should be better for options trading. If that doesn't work out, I might look into ETrade, Scottrade, or Zecco (which has the cheapest trades but the website doesn't seem like it loads properly which makes me nervous about their site security).


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August 28, 2009

SoulStocks: Good but could have been better

Before I start, I'd just like to point out that, yes, I don't have a lot of money invested in the market. Just 5k. But with the way the market has been of late, I'm not sure many people would be willing to invest more than that and personally, that's all I have to invest. It might not be glamorous or high stakes but it's a good place to start.

As for this week, there is still some after hours trading to be done but barring any major shifts, it was a good five days for me. The portfolio improved by 302 dollars. The annoying part, however, was that the stocks that I recently sold also did well so I probably should have held onto them. The biggest mistake was AIG. The stock went up 16 dollars this week. If I had held onto my shares, I would have made $400 dollars on that stock alone. If I had bought one option contract (at the time, I was looking at $34 Jan 10 option), it would have made me $1400. Instead I took my tiny profits and reinvested in Papa John's which made me about 9 dollars, which doesn't even cover the cost to buy a stock on Sharebuilder. Still, I can't feel THAT bad because every analyst out there is completely confused as to why AIG, a company that is still in a lot of trouble, is skyrocketing.

Besides the Woulda Coulda Shoulda, I played it safe and sold a few of my options for a small profit, making just under 150 bucks on those investments. I reinvested in an option on Electro-Optical Science, a company that is awaiting FDA approval for a device that will be able to catch melanomas faster than ever. I bought 25 shares of the stock on August 13th and have made 27% gains so after the stock dropped down a bit, I decided to go in with an option. Reports say that if they get the FDA approval, the stock could double so I think it's a good roll of the dice (even if it does sound very Boiler Room-ish).

As for the rest of the portfolio, I'm thinking about cashing out of Bank of America. I've made just over 50 bucks (17% return) but I'm afraid that the stock has peaked for the time being. It's above Morningstar.com's fair value estimate so it might be time to sell. My Manitowoc Co. option dipped and if it gets back to 2.50, I might just take the small profit and run. In both cases, I'd rather risk losing another AIG than holding onto another Wendy's; that option has lost almost 60% of its value and is up in September so time is not on my side. While the profits for AIG could have been huge, that seems to be more of the exception than the rule. I'll take my singles and doubles rather than going for the home run. In the black, my Citibank option has doubled, Kroger started down but bounced back to show a small profit, and my recent Gannett and Omnitron purchases brought back 17% gains.

Besides Wendy's, my big loser was Ford. The option was up to 1.50 but is now back down to 75 cents. I tested my luck on a cheap stock US Geothermal and that is down 25%. The US Steel (X) roller coaster is on the down sideright now; I should have opted for Caterpillar instead but that stock purchase is a long term deal so it's probably still too early to judge it since X has a higher ceiling.

So as I said, my current lifetime earnings are 302 dollars. It seems like absolutely nothing but it's a nice comeback seeing as my initial stock purchases has me down 400 dollars when I re-started investing a month ago.


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August 22, 2009

SoulStocks: AIGGGGGH!

Another up and down week for the portSoulio but I ended up 20 bucks so it's fine. The major mistake I made was cashing out of my AIG stocks. I was up 20 bucks and wasn't feeling very confident in the stock so I sold it. Then the stock skyrocketed and I basically cost myself 110 dollars. Well, actually 90 bucks; the money from the AIG sale went into Papa John's stock and that went up 20 bucks.

Right now my biggest losers are my Wendy's $5 Sep option (I knew I was in trouble when Jim Cramer suggested buying the stock days after I had purchased it) and my Hasbo $25 Jan option. The Wendy's one is a bigger concern because the deadline is coming up and the stock hasn't really been doing that much. 

Another mild mistake was selling Caterpillar and putting the money into more US Steel. Not a huge difference; CAT went up three percent while US Steel (symbol: X) went up 2. 

On the bright side, I finally listened to the right people for once. Whenever I've bought a stock on a suggestion or from my research, the stock has collapsed. But Omniture Inc. went up this week and, at last, I made some money on a company that i didn't really have first hand knowledge of. 

Overall, I'm almost even for my lifetime of investing. Finally, I've just about wiped the losses of my initial investment venture off the books. The stock market is still like gambling at this point and there really isn't a company that I'm sold on sticking with for the long term. Citibank (C) has made me some money but that place could collapse at any second, it seems. True, the government probably won't let it go under but the stock could take a shellacking.

I don't think I'm going to put any more money in the market. I'll just play with what I have in there (and I might take some of it out before the next "adjustment" rocks the market). 


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August 20, 2009

SoulStocks: I suck

I sold my AIG stock yesterday when it was in the black, fearing that the stock could tumble at any time. Then today, it goes up over 5 dollars a share. Very frustrating.

Lesson Learned: Go with Stop Loss sale orders rather than just selling the stock outright.


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August 16, 2009

SoulStocks: 5 Dollars

After an up and down week, my stock portfolio came out up five dollars for the week. My latest purchases didn't fare all that well but the options that I have on Bank of America and Citigroup saved the day. And yes, it's probably not a good thing when your life jacket is two failing banks. Then again, a couple of prominent investors bought long into Bank of America (BAC) so things could be looking up.

For my lifetime, I'm still down about a thousand bucks, more than half of that loss stemming from my initial foray into the market. A few years ago, I bought 500 dollars worth of 5 stocks that basically became worth little more than 5 dollars in 5 minutes. 

I'm pretty happy with what I have right now but I may try to dump a couple of options this week. We shall see.


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August 12, 2009

SoulStocks: Buy!

So far, the stock game hasn't been great. It's kind of a two steps up, three steps back proposition and I've made a few stupid purchases that bit me in the ass. Still, I'm doing OK and a lot of my long options seem to be looking like solid buys. I've cooled on the options buying a little bit but it is a good way to get in on high priced stocks without having to risk a ton.

I recently looked to cut some losses and reap some profits (while the getting was... halfway decent) so I have about 900 bucks to spend. I'll wait to see how the markets open but right now I'm looking at:

Kroger (KR): The grocery store corporation, owner of my neighboring Ralphs. Right now, I'm planning on buying one contract (100 shares) of the Jan 2010 $20 option at $2.35.
GE: General Electric's stock has plummeted and I have to believe that it's going to go up. Right now it's at just 14 dollars. NBC can't get any worse but, then again, I'm not a fan of Universal's future releases. And that's just the entertainment arm of the company. I might hold off on this one but right now I'm thinking about getting 10 or 20 shares.
Electro-Optical Sciences (MELA): OK, I'm breaking the rule about only buy what you know but this company is popular on all of the sites I use to research (famous last words) and is working towards a better melanoma test. I could be scared off of this stock tomorrow morning but right now, I'm thinking about grabbing 150 bucks worth of the stock (priced around 7 bucks right now).
US Geothermal Inc (HTM): I'm obviously not sticking to the buy what you know concept. But this green energy company seems like it's doing alright and it's cheap, just 1.59 per share. I'm thinking about 50 or 100 shares.

Of course, all of this could change by tomorrow morning and I might buy McDonalds or something but for now, this is the game plan. Then again, I might just look into bonds or just move it back into my savings account (which is probably the smartest move).


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August 03, 2009

SoulStocks: Options

My first venture into stock was terrible but my latest purchases have been doing pretty well. Ford (F) has gone up 47% since I bought in, making me 95 dollars. Bank of America (BAC) has made me 40 bucks (up 21%) and IMAX (IMAX) has been up and down but I'm at an 11% profit, a robust 11 dollars.

The biggest change in my extremely modest portfolio, however, is that I've now started investing in stock options. Instead of buying the actual stock, you buy the option to buy 100 shares of a stock at a certain price. The option prices seem to be more volatile than stocks but they also get your bigger gains, faster. For example, I bought 200 dollars of Ford stock in May. As I noted before, I've watched my shares increase in value by 47%. On Friday, I paid 200 dollars for an option contract of 8 dollars on Ford that expires in December. It's already up 39% and I've made 85 bucks. The downside, of course, is that things drop in value just as quickly. I bought an option on CVS and it dropped 20% of its value in one day. I also bought Hasbro and Sprint options which have lost some money but altogether I'm up over 100 bucks in this past week.

Right now, I think I'm going to hold onto everything I have but the next stock option I might invest in is US Steel. I was scared off because they showed a loss and are expected to show another next quarter but before the crash, it was trading at 150 and now it's at 42 dollars. It's up over 2 bucks today so I'm going to wait to see if it dips down before buying it but it seems like a pretty good bet. I'm still not sure if I'm going to buy it but I'm keeping an eye on it.



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