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July 15, 2006

Which Way Cleveland Cavaliers?

lebronjames.jpg The Cavs have three years to build a team around Lebron James. Right now, they have Varejao and their two draft picks, Shannon Brown and Daniel Gibson. Ilgauskas, Donyell, and most of the roster aren't long term help and Larry Hughes didn't fit in. So which way do the Cavs go to build a better team around King James?

Larry Hughes for Kenyon Martin: Kenyon's attitude might scare off some people but he's the best fit for the Cavs, whom I can't believe are interested in bringing Carlos Boozer back into the fold. Hughes simply doesn't fit with Lebron and Martin gives the Cavs some toughness in the post, a decent inside-out game that could complement James, and a good up-tempo player who will help the Cavs run. Denver gets the shooting guard they've been dying for and gets rid of K-Mart.

Go after Reggie Evans, Scot Pollard, Lo Wright, Keith Van Horn: Their new frontcourt isn't the healthist of groups so they grab a back-up big man for the MLE (or part of it). Pollard or Wright make the most sense as they'll be cheaper and can play both center and PF. The Cavs also could push for Stevie Hunter in the Sixers/Celtics deal to add a big man.

tradewebber.jpg A three deal team with Boston and Philly: Cleveland takes home Wally Szczerbiak and Kyle Korver for Drew Gooden, Eric Snow, and Luke Jackson. Wally gives them a starting SF while Korver gives them shooting off the bench. Philly dumps Chris Webber, whom they think is untradeable, and gets a replacement in Gooden as well as Luke Jackson and old friends Eric Snow and Theo Ratliff. This deal allows them to move two contracts they don't want (Korver and Webber). Snow's contract isn't great but he's shown he can fit with A.I. Snow also could be replaced with other players (e.g, Damon Jones) to make the deal work for Philly. Ratliff gives them another big man alongside Dalembert and Stevie Hunter.
As for the Celtics, they get Chris Webber, who's deal is only for two years, to play alongside Pierce. He's probably the best fit we could get in the paint as he is still quality and, though overpaid, doesn't have a long term deal. Chris also can play either frontcourt spot, giving the C's flexibility to team him with: Perkins, Jefferson, or Gomes.

The Cavs end the offseason looking like this:
  • C: Ilgauskas, Varejao, Andriuskevicius
  • PF: K-Mart, Donyell
  • SF: Wally, Korver, Newble
  • SG: Lebron, Shannon Brown, Pavlovic
  • PG: Damon Jones, Daniel Gibson

June 28, 2006

Which Way Minnesota Timberwolves?

The Wolves are a mess. But on draft day, they could make a big move? KG to Chicago for #2, Gordon, and Chandler? Gordon, Ricky, Ty Thomas, Shelden Williams (or whoever falls to #6) and Chandler is a nice young core.

or do you go with Ricky, Blount, #6 for AI? Or something like that?

Worst case scenario IMO is getting someone like Boozer or K-Mart. Of course, that's likely what McHale will do.

June 26, 2006

Which Way Minnesota Timberwolves?

     The first thing that must be done is the firing of Kevin McHale. McHale's has built one of the worst teams in the NBA, despite having one of the best talents in the league, and has little-to-no young prospects on the roster. For everything that's been said about Isiah Thomas, how many guys on the Knicks would you trade for Mark Blount, Troy Hudson, or Marko Jaric? The Wolves are facing a very difficult decision on KG because of McHale's inabilities. So where do they go from here?

Trade KG: I think the Wolves have to trade Kevin Garnett. They simply do not have any other viable options. It's either spend three-to-five years rebuilding or spend three-to-five years trying to build around KG and ending up with nothing and then having to rebuild anyway. McHale would have to be setting up the heist of the century if he had some major move planned to right this ship. The first deal I would look at is KG and Eddie Griffin for Pau Gasol and Eddie Jones. I'm not sure how Jerry West would look at this deal. He would likely try to get the #6 for the #26 but dropping 20 spaces AND giving up KG doesn't seem to make sense.

June 19, 2006

Which Way Portland Trailblazers?

First and foremost, this team needs to be sold and needs a complete management trade. It's been some time since the NBA has had a franchise turn off its fan base as much as Portland has. Even Atlanta, who never had the greatest fans anyway, seems more in tune with their out-of-touch decision makers. This is perhaps the first and biggest chance that needs to happen. While winning is usually a cure-all, this team isn't winning soon and right now I'm not sure if Portland fans would even care if the Blazers started winning again under the Steve Patterson regime.

As for the players, off-the-court issues are almost more important for them as well. The supposed cleaning up of the Blazers image never happened. John Nash simply traded talented headcases for less-talented headcases. The Blazers need a complete roster rehaul, both for talent and attitude reasons. So where do they start? Or rather, where don't they?

webster.jpg The Core: Martell Webster

Webster is a good young talent and his trade value probably isn't high enough right now to get equal value. One of the better moves the Blazers could make would be to match up Webster with Gerald Green but I don't support our dealing Gerald so that deal should never happen.

The Needs: Everything

Cap Space: They have none.

So where do they go from here?

Trade Darius Miles, Theo Ratliff, #30 for Mo Taylor, Malik Rose, #20: I'm not sure if they could get the pick swap but the first move that much be made is dumping Darius Miles. This deal gives the Blazers a solid backup player (albeit overpaid) in Malik Rose while Mo Taylor is an expiring contract. While the initial response might be, "Why would Portland care about expiring deals?", the days of their 100 million dollar payoll are over. This coming season they are at $60 million and without Ratliff's deal, they''ll actually have 30 million in cap space after next season.

Zach Randolph for Richard Jefferson: My biggest fear is a Raef, Green, #7 for Telfair and Randolph deal but I think a swap like this is more likely. Richard is supposedly on the outs in New Jersey, and Zach would give them the big man they've been lacking since K-Mart left town. A Krstic/Zach frontcourt could be very nice for the Nets. Meanwhile, Jefferson is a likable personality who can do a little bit of everything alongside Webster.

Sebastian Telfair for #7 pick: The Blazers could fight to get Ryan Gomes as well but I think they are better off cutting ties with Bassy. Besides, what are the odds that he doesn't make like his cousin Stephon and force a deal out of town?

Draft With the #4 pick, the Blazers grab the big man that falls, be it Bargnani or Aldridge. I'd stay away from Tyrus Thomas who a) comes off as a diva in the making in interviews and b) wants to play small forward. If neither of those guys are available, I'd try to trade down. With the #7 pick (acquired in the Telfair deal), I'd take Shelden Williams. I simply don't believe that Atlanta promised to take him at #5. If Shelden is gone, I'd go with the best player/person available, which is Randy Foye. Marcus Williams might be the better pure PG but his checkered past makes him someone the Blazers simply can't draft. The #20 pick (if they get it in the NY deal) could be Saer Sene or Jordan Farmar. If they can't get that pick then #30 and #31 should be the best players available.

Free Agency I wouldn't waste any money on this free agent class. Maybe sign a big man to a one year deal.

blazers.jpg Possible 2006/7 Lineup: Skinner, Taylor, Jefferson, Webster, Blake with Shelden, Bargnani, Outlaw, Dixon, Jack, Malik Rose, Khrypa and whoever they get at #30 and #31
Cheap young talent, another top draft pick in 2007, and, for the first time, cap space at the end of the season.

Can they get there from here? It all depends on Martell Webster and their picks this season. If those young players can impress the Portland fans on and off the court, the Blazers could be back to contending. If they fail on the court, the Blazers have a very good chance of becoming the new Golden State Warriors: a ton of young talent and no results to show for it.

May 31, 2006

Which Way Toronto Raptors?

060502_raptors_miller_200.jpg Well, Toronto's done three things right so far. They've hired Bryan Colangelo, won the lottery and announced that they are changing their uniforms. While they're at it, they should change the name but let's not get ahead of ourselves. While I did like the Raptor red, I think losing the purple and giving the team a new look could be a step in the right direction.

cbosh02.jpg The Core: Chris Bosh

Honestly, everyone else can be had. While Charlie Villenueva might have proved his doubters wrong, he can't escape the fact that he is best suited for the 4 which is Bosh's domain. Colangelo could always go small ball and play Charlie and Bosh together but my guess is that Charlie is worth more on the market than on the court right now.

The Needs: Pretty much everything. They have a young prospect in Roko Ukic in Europe but waiting on him probably isn't the best route since nobody knows when he's coming over or how good he'll be when he does. The most pressing need is a legit center and a point guard to replace Mike James, who is 90% out the door.

The Bait: If there's one thing the Raptors have plenty of, it's trade bait. Villain, Mo Peterson, and a bevy of short mid-level contracts.

Cap Space: 15 million, assuming only Mike James opts out of his deal.

So where do they go from here?

Trade The most obvious deal would be Charlie for Magloire, Mo Williams, and Ersan Ilyasova. Magloire might actually stay since he's from Toronto and Mo would be the starting PG. A trade with Seattle could work but it sounds like Seattle's asking price for Ridnour might be a bit too much right now for a deal of Luke and the #10 to work. Another deal would be Villenueva would be to Chicago for Ben Gordon. Colangelo gets his point guard and the Bulls get a low post scoring opton. If 6'5 Ukic comes over, he could be a great complement to Gordon in the backcourt. Depending on the draft, the Raptors either take the Bucks deal or the Chicago deal.
If the Hornets are looking for veteran guards (and hoping to dump JR Smith and Arvydas Macijauskas both of whom were in Byron Scott's doghouse), the Raptors should offer up Morris Peterson for the two.
They should hold onto Alvin and Eric Williams until the trade deadline to see if there isn't any talent that couldn't be had for some expiring deal.

g9p810fx.gif Draft The pick is hard to gauge. Unless someone falls in love with Aldridge or Bargnani, I can't see many teams giving up a ton to move up. Most offers will likely be deemed either too much for the other team (Telfair and the 4, Green and the 7) or not enough for the Raptors (JR Smith, the 12 and 15, Pietrus and the 9). While people seem to love Bargnani, he doesn't fit with Bosh since they are both PF's. This also eliminates Ty Thomas. In my opinion, it comes down to Rudy Gay vs. LaMarcus Aldrige. Both have knocks against them that they are soft but I'm going to go with the guy I had pegged at #1 from the beginning, Rudy Gay. Of course, Colangelo could completely alter the face of the team and deal Bosh for a top pick to get Bargnani (and build a possible Marion/Nowitzki like tandem) but I think that's a little much for the first few months on the job.

Free Agency This is a weak free agent class and Toronto would be best served saving their room. Al Harrington would be an interesting small forward to team with Bosh and Aldridge but his asking price could be more than he's worth, especially if he has to come to Toronto. Smaller level guys like Matt Harpring, Jared Jeffries, Fred Jones, etc might be better to fill out the bench. The former two are trickier signings since they are restricted FA's but they are the level of guy (low price wih potential) that the Rapz would be best pursuing.

Possible 2006/7 Lineup: Mo Williams, JR Smith, Rudy Gay, Chris Bosh, Jamaal Magloire with Ukic, Arvydas Macijauskas, A & E.Williams, Araujo, J. Graham
The bench is weak but that lineup doesn't include their second round pick and any role players that they could pick up via free agency.

Can they get there from here? The Raptors most certainly could buid a team that could make a push for the playoffs in a couple years and then bigger things after that. Jerry Colangelo has a ton of assets to play with and has never been afraid to overpay for something he wants, so he could easily disregard the youthful angle I've chosen and try to add talent to win now. Only time will tell, but in time I believe the Raptors will be back to the top of the Eastern Conference in a few years.

SkylineSunset.JPG

May 10, 2006

Which Way Charlotte Bobcats?

The Charlotte Bobcats have been an unlucky team so far during their short tenure in the NBA. They just missed out on Dwight Howard and got Emeka Okafor who seems solid but unspectacular. They missed out on Chris Paul, but still, Raymond Felton is far from a slouch. I don't think luck was the issue with the selection of Sean May who, in my opinion, a bad pick. Nothing has changed after injuries add yet another question mark to his already cloudy "potential". On the bright side, Gerald Wallace seems like he is finally coming into his own and Primov Brezec has filled the middle quite nicely.

1077.jpg The Core: Emeka Okafor, Ray Felton, Sean May, Gerald Wallace

Gerald and the lotto picks are the foundation of the house that Bernie Bickerstaff is building. How sturdy that foundation is is a question that many fan in Charlotte have to be wondering. Okafor and May combined for 49 games this season and even Wallace missed 27 games this last season.

The Supporting Cast: Brevin Knight is one of the best backup guards in the business and Primov Brezec is a solid big man. Melvin Ely is good enough, I guess, while Bernard Robison showed he belonged in the rotation with his play in the second half of the season.

The Needs: Outside shooting is a must. The two guard spot is the one area that hasn't been addressed and will likely be one of Bernie's top priorities this offseason.

The Bait: The Cats have a lotto pick to play with as well as a number of very palatable contracts in Wallace, Knight, and Brezec. While they still have a limited salary cap so they may want to hold off a year before really making a rush at free agents or big ticket item. Also, why rush to be good when the 2007 draft is looking like a possibly top-notch draft?

Cap Space: As was noted before, they don't have a full cap until next offseason. Still, they have around over 20 million available this season.

bobcats_2006_preview.jpg

So where do they go from here?

Draft The obvious pick for the 'Cats would be Brandon Roy. He's a four year college player, smart, versatile, and has a history of injuries. He should fit right in. He would be a reach in the top three but if the 'Cats drop to the 4th or 5th position in the draft, I'd be willing to bet they grab the former Washington Husky. If they get a top three pick, they should grab one of the available power forwards, be it Tyrus Thomas, LaMarcus Aldridge, or Andrea Bargnani. Okafor hasn't been healthy enough nor is Sean May good enough to pass up a talented big man.

Trade They need to trade Brevin Knight. Unless he's some absolute sensai to Ray Felton and the team would collapse without his powers in the locker room, there just isn't a reason to keep a thirty one year old journeyman point guard with trade value sitting on the pine. The Bobcats should look to move him for a young talent. J.R. Smith is on the outs in New Orleans so the Charlotte should make a play for him. Send out feelers about guys like Josh Childress, Tony Allen, or another young guard.

Free Agency This is a weak free agent class and Charlotte would be best served saving their room. Honestly, what's Bonzi Wells going to get this team besides a worse lottery pick? If they deal Knight, they could scoop up a backup point guard but other than that their main decision is whether or not to reup Melvin Ely.

Possible 2006/7 Lineup: May, Okafor, Wallace, Roy, Felton with Knight, Brezec, Robinson, Ely.
No change but, hey, slow and steady wins the race.

PH2005120500042.jpg Can they get there from here? The Bobcats could be major players in the offseason of 2007 as they'll have great trade assets, a lottery pick (once again), and a ton of cap room. They still don't have anyone I'd consider a real franchise player but they should be able to obtain one next offseason. The team won't win many games in '06/07 but they will be ready to make the leap and compete for a playoff spot the year after that. If Bernie plays his cards right, he could maneuver this team to the top of the Eastern Conference in a few years.

May 05, 2006

Which Way New York Knickerbockers?

123 million. 23 wins. A team that is literally giving their coach heart attacks. Players threatening to fight one another. Players jumping each other in the shower... to fight. Things pretty much couldn't get any worse for the New York Knicks. So how is Isiah going to turn it around?

Clean Out the Front Office

Fire Isiah. This is obvious. While he isn't as bad as Scott Layden (Layden built a team with a high payroll and no talent) he also is likely to make deals bringing in Darius Miles, Kenyon Martin, and Ruben Patterson which would make the Knicks about as dysfunctional as a team could be.

This might shock many people but the Knicks next move is obvious IMO: Fire Larry Brown. While Brown is one of the best coaches of all-time, the man's longest tenure was six years in Philly and that was before he was one turnover away from having heart failure. The man's schtick doesn't work everywhere and it clearly didn't work in NY. At best, he'll be around for a few years but it'll take that time to clean up this mess.

Who do you bring in to replace Larry? Honestly, I don't know but one guy who could work, even though I can't stand him, is Jim O'Brien. Am I an Obie fan? No, not at all. I actually was glad when he finally left Boston but the bottom line is that the man wins. He has been to the playoffs every year in which he has coached a full season. And for all of the talk of him not playing the right guys in Philly, it's not like Sam Dalembert and friend exactly lit it up this year.
Since tanking in hopes of a great draft pick doesn't work for NY (they dealt their 2007 pick in the Curry deal), they might as well at least find the guy to make the team mediocre for a year or two when, hopefully, the Knicks should be able to take the next step towards contending at which point they hire a better coach. (Then again, name me a better coach and I'll probably immediately admit that it's a better option than Obie but for now, that's who I'm going with.)

The Moves(Note: These moves are very questionable but it's the basic idea that I think could work)

Stephon Marbury, David Lee, Nate Robinson for Jason Williams and Antoine Walker: This is a HORRIBLE trade for the Knicks but honestly they are going to have to give up a lot to dump Stephon. Antoine is reunited with old friend O'Brien and the duo eyes Beantown in hopes of luring Paul Pierce away. Miami seems like the one team that could possibly handle Starbury. Shaq is the man and Wade's versatility and ability to run the point now and then helps open up Steph to focus on scoring. I also thing Marbury will realize that he will never get a better opportunity to win than in Miami which should help him keep his ego in check. The Heat take a gamble but if they don't win it this year, I wouldn't be surprised to see them risk it before Shaq's window of winning a title closes any further.

Jamal Crawford and Quentin Richardson for Rashard Lewis and Damien Wilkins : The Sonics are looking to move 'Shard and they get a guy they've always loved In Crawford and a replacement at the three in Q. Damien Wilkins is a solid guy to do the dirty work which NY needs and Obie will love.

Dump Stevie Francis for the #6 pick, Eddie Griffin, Trenton Hassell, and Marko Jaric : While everyone is expecting Stephon to go to Minnesota, maybe the better option is Stevie Franchise? The Wolves need something and they give up next to nothing in this deal. The Knicks do it to get more role players and to pick up the 6th pick in the draft.

Malik Rose or Mo Taylor, Jerome James, #6 pick for Carlos Boozer : If the Jazz really want to move Boozer, they'll have to take back, at least, Jerome James' contract. They get a high lotto pick and a servicable big man in Rose or an expiring contract in Mo Taylor. Odds are they'll go with the cap space and select Mo Taylor.

The Lineup
C: Eddy Curry, Channing Frye, Jackie Butler
PF: Carlos Boozer, Antoine Walker, Malik Rose
SF: Rashard Lewis, Eddie Griffin
SG: Jalen Rose, Damien Wilkins, Trenton Hassell
PG: Jason Williams, Marko Jaric

While the Knicks take on some bad long term deal, they are smaller long term deals than the ones they had. The biggest question mark is Boozer but you'd hope that he could stay healthy and give you the 20/10 that he delivered in the final month of the year. You hold on to Jalen Rose either to move him at the trade deadline or to just let him walk and give James Dolan some financial relief. At #20 and #29 in the draft you take the best players available. I'm sure Obie would push for Kevin Pittsnoogle but he's a short term fix so you don't have to listen to him.

This is some major league spitballing but I think deals like these are the kind that can get the Knicks a cohesive unit and a team that could fight for the final playoff spot in the East.

May 04, 2006

Which Way Atlanta Hawks?

Since Boston's lack of any mid-level salaries makes their trade maneuverablity limited (at best), let's take a look at other team and address what they could do this offseason. We'll start off with the Atlanta Hawks, a team that, to change around the lyrics of Prince's 1999, "Two Thousand Zero Zero, Steve Smith traded, whoops, out of playoffs." Not exactly as catch as the original but it gets the point across. The Atlanta Swingmen have peaked at 35 wins since the turn of the decade and while the talent is looking better, the organization is anything but.

jsmith2.jpg The Core: Joe Johnson, Josh Smith, Marvin Williams

Marvin makes it solely because you can't give up on a #2 draft pick after just one season. If Billy Knight thinks, as Chad Ford did, that Marvin is the best player from last year's draft, he has to take a breath and let the young man grow. He was coming off of just one year in college so some growing pains are needed. Josh Smith is on the verge of becoming a superstar or at the very least, a AK47 level stud. After the All-Star break, he posted 17 points, 7.8 board, 4.1 assists, 1.03 steals and 3.13 steals. He even lowered his TO's to 2.3 a game and started hitting threes for once, knocking down 32% of them (which isn't great but better than the 0% he had in the first half of the season). Joe Johnson is overpaid but not as much as people like to act. Look at his numbers compared to Paul Pierce's career season.

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The Supporting Cast: Zaza Pachulia proved to be a free agent steal, pulling down 11 and 8 for only 4 million per. Josh Childress has been everything people thought... and feared. A solid player but most certainly not a lottery pick. Salim Stoudamire can shoot lights out but he's also a headcase who really doesn't do much positive besides shooting lights out. Royal Ivey works hard, which says it all. If the first comment you have about someone is that they work hard then they are probably not that good.

The Needs: This team desperately needs a big man and a point guard. They also could use some perimeter shooting off the pine.

The Bait: For all of the years in the lottery, the Hawks don't have much in the form of trade assets to show for it. Their main trade asset is Al Harrington, whom is only half of an asset because he's a free agent so the Hawks only hope of getting something for him is in a sign-and-trade. Any talk of the Hawks keeping him is purely positioning to help their standing in sign-and-trade talks. Signing him to any kind of big money deal would make no sense whatsoever. Then again, that's never stopped Billy Knight. They also have the 4th slot in the draft, which could be disastrous because if the three big men go 1, 2, 3, then that leaves nothing but swingmen (Rudy Gay and Adam Morrison) at their pick. If that happens, they almost have to deal the pick.

Cap Space: Loads of it. They'll have around 20 million to spend this offseason.

So where do they go from here?

1135314608.jpg Draft The Hawks are missing two of the hardest positions to fill yet I still feel OK about their prospects. The biggest issue is the draft. LaMarcus Aldridge obviously fills their big man need while Andrea Bargnani's versatility is almost a perfect complement to Josh Smith. In a couple of years, those two could become a very dangerous duo. However, if the Hawks can't get one of those two, they would be best served dealing the pick. Ty Thomas would be a solid pick despite the fact that he's only an inch taller and actually ten pounds lighter than Marvin Williams. Still, his defensive presence would be a boost for the Hawks.

Trade They also have to hope that a team with no cap space goes after Harrington so they can get something for him. Al has mentioned a desire to go to Chicago but I can't imagine they are that interested in him since he isn't that much better than Deng or Nocioni IMO. Golden St. could be an option for Al, but they would have to get a young stud like Monta Ellis or Andris Biedrins if they are going to take back one of Golden St.'s ugly contracts. The Knicks might offer someone like Stevie Franchise in a deal but I would go with the cheaper and more manageable Jamal Crawford, who could benefit from playing with a 2-guard like Joe Johnson who can run the point from time to time. Ideally though, the Hawks would get creative and work some sort of three way trade to get back Jamaal Magloire and Mo Williams from the Bucks. Mo is a pure point while Jamaal could focus on doing what he does best, rebound and block shots. I just don't see Milwaukee going after Al since they just sank money in Bobby Simmons. For some reason, I see Stephon Marbury ending up here, the state where he played his college ball, but that's just because I can't really see him fitting in anywhere else.

image_newsletter_2003-03-31_2.jpg Free Agency From the sounds of it, the Hawks first option is to go after Nene Hilario. That wouldn't be such a bad idea but investing big money on a big man who just blew out his knee isn't the greatest of ideas. Speedy Claxton makes sense as a scoring PG alongisde Joe Johnson as long as his market value doesn't go through the roof. Right now, I don't see too many sure-fire signings so the Hawks might be better continuing the slow build and not forcing any long term contracts just because they can.

Possible 2006/7 Lineup: Nene, Zaza, Smith, Johnson, Speedy with Marvin, Bargnani, Childress, Jose Juan Barea (2nd round pick).
This lineup doesn't include whomever they add in a sign-and-trade with Al Harrington so the future is looking bright.

Can they get there from here? The playoffs are still probably a year or two on the horizon but the Hawks can make definite steps in the right directions. An Aldridge or Bargnani draft along with a solid pick in the second round should help set their core while they could fill both of their positions of need, if not in a deal for Al Harrington than in free agency. On the downside, they could easily repeat their history and trade their pick for a headcase, draft another small forward, and overpay a so-so big man. The options are endless for the Hawks; the question is will Billy Knight choose the right one?