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February 29, 2008

"I love it when a plan comes together."

I will admit (not that I can really hide from it) that looking at Danny Ainge's band of misfits from last season I had no idea how he'd be able to turn things around. His plan looked as ridiculous as many of Hannibal Smith's schemes to get the A-Team out of trouble. Yet here we are, heading towards the second season and two more key pieces to the puzzle have fallen into place. With PJ Brown and Sam Cassell in the lineup, Danny Ainge has put together his very own A-Team. Although to be honest, Danny's manuevering is more reminiscent of Macgyver. He's taken a bunch of leftoever and made a juggernaut (but I think even Macgyver himself would look at Gerald Green and think, "No. I have no idea how to make him useful.") 

Kudos to Danny. His dream season continues. 


February 22, 2008

Early '08 Mock Top Ten

Of course things can change and the lottery is always unpredictable but here's a first look at the current lottery picks for 2008:

1. Miami Heat: Michael Beasley
Beasley has played himself into the #1 overall and there's really only a couple teams that would even consider taking Derrick Rose over him. Beasley is a great fit for everyone (besides New York since I'm not sure anyone really fits into that mess). Teaming him with Wade and Marion would be the ideal situation but having him alongside Rudy Gay/Mike Conley in Memphis, Big Al Jefferson in Minny, Kevin Durant in Seattle, or Gerald Wallace and Emeka Okafor in Charlotte would be amazing.

2. Minnesota Timberwolves: Derrick Rose
Yes they already have Foye and McCants but I just can't see passing on a pure point guard because you have either of those two guys. Honestly, I'm not sure if those two are even good enough to pass on a good combo guard.  The Wolves have one core piece and that's Al Jefferson. I'm sure Wolves fans will pray that Big Al and Rose will be the second coming of the KG and Marbury duo that flamed out far too fast.

3. Memphis Grizzlies: OJ Mayo
After trading Pau Gasol and using their cap space on Darko Milicic, the Grizz could use a big man but this is just too early to take any of the top 4 or 5's. Eric Gordon is a possibility but since he's just 6'3, it probably won't happen. Teaming him with the short Mike Conley Jr. won't work. The Grizz can try to grab a big man for Mike Miller and Kyle Lowry and try to wake up the fans in Memphis with the fast-paced play of Conley, Mayo, and Rudy Gay.

4. Oklahoma Sooner-or-Later: Jerryd Bayless
The team that used to be the Sonics had such bad management in the past that they've used first round picks in three of the last four years on centers (two of them being lotto picks) and they'd still probably consider taking a big man. But I think their biggest need is at the point and even thought Bayless isn't exactly a pass-first point guard, he's someone who can bring the ball up the court and help fill the seats when the team moves to Oklahoma. The playmaking skills Bayless may lack should be made up for by Jeff Green's point-forward abilities.

5. New York Knicks: Eric Gordon
Honestly, the team is in need of a full makeover and I'd be surprised if they didn't sacrifice the pick and use Gordon to move one or two of their lousy contracts. I wouldn't be stunned to see this pick in some sort of deal that nets the Knicks Michael Redd.

6. Charlotte Bobcats:  DeAndre Jordan
I'm not a fan of Brook Lopez and, honestly, the Bobcats can afford to gamble. Jordan is a freak of nature and I'd rather role the dice on him than settle for Lopez or Hibbert.

7. Los Angeles Clippers: Danilo Gallinari
The Clippers want to win now so I think they move this pick. I'm not sure exactly how it would work but I see the Raptors going after Gallinari or Nicolas Batum here in some sort of deal involving the Clips and the Wizards. The main players would be Chris Kaman and Jose Calderon to the Wizards, Gilbert Arenas to the Clippers, and the #7 to the Raptors. More players would have to be moved in but something like that. Either way, Donald Sterling is tired of losing (especially now that he has sunk some money into this team) so I think the Clippers are going to make a big move in order to win some more games next season.

8. Milwaukee Bucks: Nicolas Batum
Batum is another foreign prospect with highlight reel material but questionable ability in terms of making it in the NBA. Still, I think the new Bucks GM should be able to buy himself some time because of the potential of Gordon, Batum, Jianlian, and Bogut. The team still needs a point guard but they'll be in the lottery next year to sort that out.

9. Indiana Pacers: Brook Lopez
This offseason the Pacers should finally realize that they are Danny Granger's team and start rebuilding accordingly. The main needs are PG and C and I think Larry Legend and Co. are much more likely to snag Lopez than to reach for any of the remaining PG's.

10. Chicago Bulls: Darrell Arthur
Roy Hibbert might make more sense but Arther seems more like a Paxson-type pick: athletic, unrefined, potential.  If Hasheem Thabeet shows something in workouts I wouldn't even be stunned to see hiim go here. I'm sure Paxson would love to deal this pick but, as always, it's just not going to fetch what he really wants in return.

 

February 21, 2008

Mulligan Season Continues

Ben Wallace, Larry Hughes, and Wally/Delonte are all swapping addresses in the year's biggest trade of mistakes past.

Chicago finally brings an end to the Ben Wallace Era. The man who was supposed to lead the team to the promised land actually proved to be anything but a steadying presence. Even worse, he wasn't very good on the court either. Larry Hughes gives them the shooting guard that they never really needed. He and Hinrich could combine to be one of the more overrated defensive backcourts in the league while Luol Deng and Ben Gordon have probably gone back to being happy that they didn't re-sign with the Bulls. I think they both will be more than happy to leave Chicago in their wake. Also in the deal is Joe Smith, making him the third #1 overall pick (and 2nd #1 disappointment) to be traded this month. That has to be a record. Also coming to Chicago is Drew Gooden, a #4 overall pick whose never really found a home.

Danny Ferry, meanwhile, erases the Larry Hughes Mistake that has hung around his neck for so long. Granted, in doing so he added an overpaid Ben Wallace who really doesn't offer much but who knows, maybe he'll be able to shut down KG, 'Sheed, Jamison, Bosh or any other opposing big man the Cavs may face in the playoffs. Wally Szczerbiak gets to go back to being second fiddle to a high schooler, a role he so hated in Minnesot. Personally, I'm just not a huge fan of this deal. Delonte West should be a super-sub for the Cavs but they already had one in Daniel Gibson. They really should have pushed for moving West to Chicago and getting a pure point guard like Chris Duhon.  I know Danny Ferry had to make a move to keep LeBron happy but he just added a couple of guys who've basically made many of their former teammates pretty miserable.  On the bright side, the Cavs rid their roster of #4 draft disappointments Gooden and Donyell Marshall.

As for Seattle, this means they basically gave up Ray Allen for Jeff Green. I think the people of Seattle might chase the team out of the state for that one. (Oh wait...) 

In other news, the Human Mulligan Gerald Green is heading to a new team. Gerald is heading home to Houston to frustrate his hometown fans with bonehead plays, a pure stroke that never seems to find the target, and one game that screams potential followed by a month of games that have fans, teammates, and coaches screaming bloody murder. I have to be completely honest, the odds of the 2nd round choice the Rox gave up might have better odds of becoming a useful player than Gerald or Kirk Snyder (who Minny also got in the deal).

In the end, part of me feels that these trades haven't made the teams better, they're now just different.

February 17, 2008

Mulligan Season

This year hasn't just featured some huge trades but it's featured teams dumping major mistakes and somehow managing to get very good players in return.  Danny Ainge started it by dumping mistakes like Wally Szczerbiak, and Sebastian Telfair in deals for Ray Allen and Kevin Garnett but he had to at least give up quality players or picks in return. At this trade deadline, apparently you don't need to do that anymore.

The Mistake: Kwame Brown for Caron Butler
The Mulligan
:Kwame Brown for Pau Gasol
Now here's the thing: I think Javarris Crittenton could pan out to be a good player. He was worthy of being a high lotto pick.  That being said, you don't deal an All-Star caliber big man who is under 30 for him and two late first round picks.  I don't care if you are dumping salary, you HAVE to get something better back for Pau Gasol.  This is a guy who, one year ago, the Grizz were demanding Luol Deng, Ben Gordon, and an expiring contract (PJ Brown).  Gasol actually got healthy and his value became Javarris Crittenton and two first rounders that you'll probably be able to buy for cash come draft day?  Caron Butler has blossomed into an All-Star but right now, the Kwame-Caron trade doesn't look so bad for the Lakers.

The Mistake: Shaq's Contract 
The Mulligan: Shaq for The Matrix
Pat Riley sold his soul for one ring. When the Heat re-signed Shaq to his huge deal, everyone realized that they had to keep the core but they also knew that the odds of Shaq being a dominant player by the last few years of that deal were slim. On the bright side, Phoenix dumped one of their own mistakes, Marcus Banks, in the deal but still it doesn't make much sense. Shaq, if healthy, could help the Suns' half-court offense but it's not like they teams weakness was offense.  They gave up a key cog in their half-court defense to get Shaq. This wasn't just a major gamble but the Suns, it was major gamble betting against long odds.  On the bright side, if this fails, they'll have a huge mulligan contract to deal in a couple years.

The Mistake: Shelden Williams
The Mulligan: Shelden Williams and friends for Mike Bibby
Atlanta fans still can't be all that thrilled since they probably prefer Brandon Roy or Rudy Gay to Mike Bibby but cleaning up the inexplicable selection of Mr. Candace Parker at #5 and adding a top point guard is a nice move. Bibby isn't amazing but he's the better than the mediocre bunch Atlanta coaches have had to settle for since Knight thought dealing Jason Terry (and a first round pick) for Antoine Walker was a good idea.  Even better, Bibby is an expiring deal so Knight could be able to use that contract to snare an even bigger prize. Perhaps Bibby and Marvin Williams could be an even bigger mulligan for ol' Billy.

So what are some other mulligans that may be on the horizon?

Ron Artest/Brad Miller:You have to think Sacramento is looking to dump these two. The quesion if there's anything out there.  They likely won't want to take on a big deal so it's hard to move Miller. Artest's deal makes sense but his value is limited because of his past and his player option. Still, if they are desperate for a move, wouldn't something along the line of Raef, Travis Outlaw, Jarrett Jack work for Brad and Ron?

Andrei Kirilenko: The latest rumor was AK-47 for Lamar Odom. Personally, I think it's a great deal for L.A. With a Lakers/Celtics finals as a distinct possibility, I'd be more than happy to see the man that Paul Pierce made weep wearing purple and gold. 

Jermaine O'Neal: With all the deals flying around, I can't imagine someone won't be willing to take on the corpse formerly known as Jermaine O'Neal.  If the Kidd deal falls through, Rod Thorn might have to try to shake things up by moving Vince Carter and Jamaal Magloire for JO. It won't be a great move for either team but it will put a new face on the current mediocrity both teams are stuck in.

Andre Miller: This mulligan likely won't happen. If Mike Bibby is only worth Shelden Williams and scraps, what is 'Dre going to be worth. And with the Sixers knocking on the playoffs door, would they really want to dump their starting point guard?

Larry Hughes: Hughes has been playing amazingly well of late so there might actually be a market for him. Unfortunately, I'm not sure how great that market really is.  Perhaps a dual mulligan with Denver: Hughes and Eric Snow for K-Mart, JR Smith, and Stevie Hunter? Could you swing a super-mulligan deal with the Knicks? Has Jermaine O'Neal's value dipped this low?  The odds are that Larry and his contract are still a year away from being movable but stranger things have happened.

Isiah Thomas: When Zeke took over he talked like he was going to be the next Jerry West. As it turns out, he was just the Elgin Baylor of the East (or the Memphis-Era Jerry West). But Jerry Colangelo has just expressed interest so perhaps going through this debacle was worth it since they now have a true premiere NBA power personnel man interested in the gig.

Darius Miles: The bottom of the barrell is likely to stay there. I really don't get how this guy hasn't been bought out yet. Are the Blazers really going to sit on him for another year just so he can be a possibly movable expiring contract in the future?

 

 

February 02, 2008

Everybody Hates Chris

Or at least in Boston, they do.  Or maybe it's that he hates Boston. It has to be something because after Rick Pitino was run out of town, Wallace has done little to make people in Beantown think that he doesn't despise them.  To start, he acquires Vin Baker. Then he gets fired, goes to Memphis, and bolsters the Lakers by handing them Pau Gasol. Honestly, there must be some hidden animosity there.

As for the trade, I'll admit that I like the Conley, Crittenton, Gay backcourt. Give them Michael Beasley and it's a very interesting lineup.  That being said, you still can't be impressed by the job Wallace has done.  He entered this offseason with Pau Gasol, #4 pick in the draft, and a load of cap space. He came away with Javarris Crittenton, Mike Conley, and Darko Milicic.  On top of that, he probably also needs to find a way to trade Juan Carlos Navarro. I can't imagine he'll be all that interested in re-signing with a rebuilding Memphis team, especially now that fellow Spaniard Gasol is gone. The Grizzlies will have cap space but do you trust Wallace to use it wisely?

The Lakers should be much improved with Gasol as part of the triangle. This also takes a lot of pressure off of Bynum to come back from injury too quickly.  This season should give them a chance to look at how Odom now fits and figure out whether they should keep him or deal him for someone better suited to defend opposing SF's.

It's an amazing deal for the Lakers and if there's one reason to be excited, it's because the prospects of a Lakers/Celtics revival in the Finals is here. 

 


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