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July 31, 2007

Filling the Blanks: Post KG-trade

The Celtics currently have 11 men on the roster so they need to add at least two players.  With the team almost over the luxury tax line, I'm not sure that the owners will be willing to pay for three spots (and send Brandon Wallace down to the NBDL) so the C's might have to make due with only only two new acquisitions to fill their three needs.

So which need goes overlooked? The Celtics simply can't go into the season without adding a third point guard so that leaves the backup swinman spot and backup big man roles as possible odd men out.  Right now, I'd put my money on the center/PF spot being passed over.  The thinking will probably be that Perkin/Veal/Powe can handle the center position with Veal/Powe/Big Baby and maybe even Brandon Wallace backing up KG. With the only backups swingmen being Gabe Pruitt, Tony Allen (coming off injury), and Wallace, the C's are in dire need of players who can step up and play some minutes so that Ray Allen and Paul Pierce aren't forced to be on the court 40 minutes a night.

So who's out there?  For the point guard slot, I'd look at Charlie Bell as my top choice since he's a combo guard who could backup both guard spots effectively.  Unfortunately, he's probably out of our price range so I'd take a look at Eddie House, Darrell Armstrong, Gary Payton, Chucky Atkins, Darrick Martin, Brevin Knight or Mike Wilks. A dark horse that I'd love to invite to camp but whom we probably couldn't risk signing is Dajuan Wagner.  If our options are bargain basement, I'd look at Aaron Miles, who played well overseas. The bottom of the barrell would be Royal Ivey, a poor man's Rondo who is solid on defense but has no jumper.

For the swingman spot, the first two names to pop in most people's heads would be Eddie Jones or Ruben Patterson.  Patterson is probably a no-go because of his checkered past and the Celtics Code of Conduct.  Eddie Jones, however, could be the type of players who goes to a team for the minimum for one last shot at a ring.  Also, it would bring some justice to the world, making up at long last for the C's taking Eric Montross over him in the draft. James Posey is another option. Ime Udoka and Matt Barnes are possibilities but the odds of them taking the short money looks slim.  Perhaps they agree to a Deshawn Stevenson type one year deal to help raise their stock but we'd probably have to wait until they had no other options to make that happen.  Udoka, especially, is unlikely to make that type of deal as he is about to turn 30 in a little over a week and his window for making anything more than the minimum probably closes after this offseason.  The cheaper, more likely options would be Devin Brown, DerMarr Johnson, or Derek Anderson.

If the Celtics do opt to sign a big man, the first call would likely be to Dikembe Mutombo.  He'd be a great addition to the team but might prefer to stay in Houston. After that, there's Brian Skinner or perhaps Keith Van Horn if he opts to come out of retirement. (Not that he should). Cliff Robinson could be an interesting addition and Bo Outlaw always seems good for six fouls. The bargain basement guy would probably be Jelani McCoy. If the C's opt to go younger, they could look at Alexander Johnson, Justin Williams, Erik Daniels, Noel Felix and old friend Dwayne Jones.

 In the end, I think the best case scenario would be Charlie Bell, Ruben Patterson, and Dikembe.  But since the odds of that seem to be slimt to none, I'll be happy with Eddie House and Devin Brown (and possibly Brian Skinner if we sign three guys).

 

 

 

 

The Proving Ground

The Ten Players with the Most to Prove in 2008

10. Stephon Marbury: He's the motor that makes the Knicks run and he's got more talent to deal with this year.  Can he run the team so the offense runs fluidly? With age catching up with him, this might be the last chance he has to show off his talents and salvage his reputation.

9. Andrea Bargnani: The Atlantic Division just got a whole lot tougher so Bargnani needs to step up his game if the Raptors are going to hold onto their division title. Also, with other Class of '06ers looking better by the day, Bargnani needs to prove that he was worth the #1 pick.

8. Kevin Garnett: He's never had teammates like Paul Pierce and Ray Allen so the excuses are gone.  Then again, he has had teammates like Brian Scalabrine, Rajon Rondo, Tony Allen, and Leon Powe so some of the excuses are still there. 

7. Greg Oden: He's coming in billed as the next championship-level big man.  Anything less will be a disappointment and it seems like countless people are waiting for him to fail.

6. Kevin Durant: While Durant went after Oden the pressure is higher because he's basically all the Sonics have got.  They dumped Ray Allen and put the mantle of leadership in Durant's hands.  He can't just score points, he has to do it effeciently AND rebound in order to match expectations.

5. Luol Deng: The Bulls love him but they held onto him instead of dealing for some elite level players.  If Deng doesn't emerge as a superstar, the love affair in Chi-town may be over.

 

 

4. Andrew Bogut: The #1 pick has been solid but unspectacular and needs to step and show that he was not only worth his #1 slot but also is good enough to man the middle for a legit playoff team. Plus, his new haircut is ridiculous and he is outspoken.  You can't be outspoken off the court if you are outplayed on it.

3. Rashard Lewis: Personally, I don't think that there is any way he can truly earn the money he's making but that doesn't mean that the people in Orlando won't be expecting it to happen. Lewis is going to have to emerge as a superstar and lead Orlando to a home berth in the playoffs to live up to the contract he signed.

2. Al Jefferson: Big Al was so upset about hearing his name in trade offers for Allen Iverson last year that he recommitted himself.  He improved to a point where he was impressive enough to get traded for Kevin Garnett.  Funny how things work.  Still, Big Al is the face of the deal that sent the best player in franchise history out of town so he has some huge shoes to fill (not to mention that he bad mouthed once and future teammate Mark Blount after Blount was shipped out of Boston.)

1. Andrew Bynum: Jason Kidd. Kevin Garnett. Possibly Pau Gasol.  When a team holds onto you instead of dealing for players of that caliber, you better pan out.  Especially when the Black Mamba is looming.

 

Honorable Mention: Rajon Rondo (teams are going to pressure him as he is the weak link at the point for the Celtics); Yi Jianlian (after causing such a stink he better be good); Brandan Wright (Traded for fan fave Jason Richardson, although Marco Belinelli might stem the hate); Andrei Kirilenko (he has to prove to everyone in Utah that he belongs); Chris Paul (the supposed next Isiah can't miss the playoffs three straight years); Marvin Williams (He either needs to emerge as a player or go down as a bust)

 

Reassessing Ainge

The Boston Celtics are contenders once again.  The team has more excitement around it today than it has in years.  So did Danny's plan come to fruition, was he right all along?  Not really.  In fact, it was his utter failure that helped the Celtics get to where they are today.  If it wasn't for the last two years' lottery picks, the Celtics would never have been able to position themselves as they have.

That being said, Danny Ainge definitely deserves credit for cleaning up his past mistakes.  The Raef/Roy for Ratliff/Telfair deal looked like an absolute disaster but dumping that one year of Raef's contract might have made all the difference.  And if Danny hadn't traded for Ray Allen, KG probably wouldn't have changed his stance on not wanting to come to Boston.  If it wasn't for Ray, we would have drafted Yi Jianlian and I can't see how that would have made KG any more enamored with Beantown.

In the end, Danny reminds me a bit of Erick Strickland.  People often lauded Strickland for his clutch play; he made a big steal or hit a much needed jumper whenever the game was close.  What always bothered me though was that the whole reason the game was close to begin with was because Strickland had made a couple of dumb passes earlier or forced some bad shots.  He came through in the clutch but if it wasn't for him, the C's wouldn't have needed one clutch play to save them.  Ainge has definitely come through in the end but he made his fair share of mistakes along the way. It might not have gone exactly as planned but Danny's gotten the team back near the top.

Now it all comes down to the owners.  The job is most certainly not done.  The Celtics have one of the weakest benches in the NBA.  Of course, veterans would probably be more than happy to come to play alongside KG, Pierce, and Ray Allen so recruiting them shouldn't be too hard.  The question is whether or not the owners will be willing to pay.  I don't expect Wyc and Co. to become Paul Allen or Mark Cuban but going into the luxury tax a little bit shouldn't hurt that much.  The money they make from the playoffs and jersey sales will likely make up for any extra expenditures.  And so many teams are under the cap now that the payout is only a mere 1.9 million, hardly an amount that dissuade an owner from going after a title.   

Danny Ainge had made his mistakes, learned from them, and landed himself into a position to take advantage of opportunities.  Be it a brilliant gamplan or blind luck, the Celtics are relevent again and that's all that really matters.  (Unless you're a huge Al Jefferson fan in which case this entire deal is a disaster but I'm willing to go along with the KG deal)

 Kudos to Danny.  Now let's fill up the roster and make a run at banner 17.

 

July 30, 2007

Can Danny?

Could it be that Danny Ainge could pull off a miracle?  If Danny can somehow move Big Al, Gerald, Telfair, Gomes, Theo and a pick for Kevin Garnett, it would be an absolute steal.  I'm not sure what McHale is thinking.  He'd essentially be dealing one of the top players in the NBA for the core team that went on a historic losing streak last season (and not even getting the best PG of that group).  As much as I like Big Al, how can you not go for the gold now and get KG? This deal also salvages the Raef and Roy deal because this probably would never have gone down if we were offering Raef's two years rather than Theo's expiring deal.  This has really been the perfect storm for Danny, his best young player has a great end of the year, two teams with stars decide it is time to blow up their teams, and the owners decide that they will be willing to pay the luxury tax. The old Celtics luck might just be back.

The biggest complaint about the deal would be that our depth would take a hit but let's be honest, aside from Al Jefferson, the rest of the trade fodder is easily replaced.  Telfair was third string last year, Gerald would be fighting with Tony Allen and Gabe Pruitt for minutes, and Gomes is a nice player that shouldn't be too hard to replace.  Add in the fact that veterans looking for one last run to the Finals will now see Boston as a top destination, and the deal is a winner all around.

Danny's work isn't done as he has to fill out the roster (and I'm sure most people will call for a new head coach as well), but this could be a gigantic leap in the right direction.

July 27, 2007

Smush to Miami; La Bomba to...

Thankfully, the Miami Heat made a mistake that I feared the Celtics would, which was signing Smush Parker.  While many Celtics fans have been impressed by his dismantling of Delonte West, Parker's defense is overrated.  He reaches too much and struggles against quicker guards.  His point guard skills aren't very good either and his inability to thrive even in the triangle offense basically tells you everything you need to know.

What this deal does do is lower Juan Carlos "La Bomba" Navarro's trade value since the Heat were one of the top bidders for Navarro and I can't imagine that they would be interested in spending money on both Navarro and Parker.  With Ray Allen able to run the show, the Celtics wouldn't need Navarro to be a true PG so he could fit in well in Beantown, and if the price is right, he is definitely worth the risk.  The question is: how low will Washington go?  They won't want to take on any contracts in the deal so the Celtics would be looking at offering someone like Telfair, Gomes, or perhaps even the small money big man Leon Powe.  I'm sure the C's would want to give up Telfair but the Wiz would probably press for Gomes, or at least, Telfair and Powe.   In the end, the only hope I see us having is if other teams all bail out of the bidding and we're the last remaining option.  Even then though, the deal has to be somewhat enticing to the Wizards because they aren't going to hurt themselves just to help Navarro get a chance to play in the NBA. They'd probably just let him go back to Spain rather than take on someone they don't want in a deal.

Right now I think the best options for La Bomba (if dealt with one of the Wiz big men) are: Cleveland, LA Clippers, LA Lakers, or San Antonio. I'd be willing to let go of Telfair and Powe if it meant getting Navarro without having to take on a bad contract like Etan Thomas or Brendan Haywood.

 

Finally. Allan Ray is gone.

Allan Ray is heading to Italy.  I, for one, am happy because i just never really cared for Allan Ray's game.  He seems like a good guy but it was clear to me from early on that he was never going to anything more than a 12th man on a competent NBA franchise and I couldn't understand why we were wasting a roster spot on him. 

Granted, now he's been replaced by Brandon Wallace who also seems to be little more than a towel waver.  Hopefully Wallace will be able to become a useful player off the bench and add a defensive presence as a poor man's Renaldo Balkman but personally, I'm not holding out much hope of that happening. 

So let's bid Allan Ray arrivederci and wish him luck in his latest basketball venture.

July 26, 2007

Current Eastern Conference Predictions

1. Detroit Pistons: Still the team to beat although they are definitely beatable.
The Question: Can Flip Saunders get this team hitting on all cylanders?

2. Chicago Bulls: Is this the year they put it all together?
The Question: Will Luol Deng make the leap to superstar?

3. Washington Wizards: 35 - 27 when Arenas and Jamison were healthy.
The Question: Can they play enough defense to win in the playoffs?

4. Cleveland Cavaliers: Need to deal with their free agents before they get the #2 spot again.
The Question: Was last season as good as it gets for this roster?

5.New Jersey Nets: A healthy Jefferson and Krstic should give then the Atlantic crown again.
The Question: Was re-signing Vince Carter the right move?

6.Toronto Raptors: Still seem like they are a piece away.
The Question: How good is Andrea Bargnani?

7.Miami Heat: Wade probably won't be 100% at the start of the season and when is Shaq ever 100% anymore?
The Question: Is it time to trade Shaq?

8. Boston Celtics: If the team is healthy and Al Jefferson is the real deal, they should make the playoffs.
The Question: Is Al Jeffeson for real?

9. Orlando Magic: Stan Van Gundy has his work cut out for him.
The Question: How important were Grant Hill and Darko Milicic?

10. New York Knicks: Should contend for the playoffs but I just don't like their mix of talent.
The Question: Does all the talent actually fit together?

11. Milwaukee Bucks: Bogut and Villain have to show me something before I bet on this team.
The Question: Are Bogut and Mo Williams good enough to get this team to the playoffs?

12. Charlotte Bobcats:  Could surprise, more likely to get injured.
The Question: Will Sam Vincent be this year's Sam Mitchell?

13. Atlanta Hawks: I'm not sold on Mike Woodson being the man for the job.
The Question: Can Josh Smith grow up and becomes a star?

14. Indiana Pacers: If Jermaine O'Neal goes down, they could be the worst team in the league.
The Question: How good are Danny Granger and Shawne Williams?

15. Philadelphia 76ers: A lot of promise but not a lot of production this season.
The Question: Can Sam Dalembert emerge as a legit third star?

How the East was Lost: Southeast Division


Miami Heat
: The bench, perimeter shooting

The Heat are won of the few East teams that has done nothing to really improve themselves this offseason. In fact, their weaknesses have just become more pronounced as the off-season wears on.  The bench depth will likely take a hit with Gary Payton seeming close to retiring and James Posey looking like he's heading elsewhere.  Jason Kapono took the money and ran to Toronto. Dorrell Wright should get more minutes at the SF spot but he can't shoot so he's not really much of a complement to Wade and Shaq.  The point guard position is especially weak with only the Jason Williams (who is starting to look a bit washed up) and Chris Quinn holding down the fort.  If the Heat don't start to make some moves soon, it will be another lost season of the Shaq Era in Miami.

Washington Wizards: Center

The Wizards really have a complete team.  The draft added two solid players in Nick Young and Dominic McGuire to help solidify the bench and Aundray Blatche and Oleksiy Pecherov (along with a healthy Darius Songaila) should be able to help out the forward spots.  The problem for the Wizards is that their center position is clogged with two overpaid underperformers, Brendan Haywood and Etan Thomas.  Neither is especially good at anything so the Wizards either need to find a cheap FA or go small with Songaila in the middle.

Orlando Magic: Guard play, bench depth

For all the hype surrounding Dwight Howard and all of the money being paid to Rashard Lewis, the Orlando Magic are only going as far as their point guard takes them which is a problem because I'm not sold on  either Jameer Nelson or Carlos Arroyo.  The shooting guard spot is actually worse off with only JJ Redick and Keith Bogans really filling that role.  Keyon Dooling can slide over to get some mintes but he's just not that good. In the end, Trevor Ariza and Hedo Turkoglu will probably have to slide over to get minutes at the spot but Turkoglu really has no business trying to handle the SG spot. Aside from Ariza, Stan Van Gundy is going to have some long nights trying to figure out how to coax even a little bit of defense out of his backcourt.

It's not like the frontcourt is much better off.  After Dwight Howard, the Magic big men are Tony Battie, Pat Garrity and James Augustine.  In fact, the one position that the Magic actually had depth at was the spot they just poured all of their money into.  The SF spot is held down by Rashard Lewis, Turkoglu, and Ariza.  Otis Smith had done a solid job setting up his team to improve, but by overinvesting in Rashard Lewis, he's now tied the franchise's hands to a point where they might not be able to get out of the Southeast division and into the playoffs.

Atlanta Hawks:Maturity, #2 scorer

If the Hawks are going to win more than 30 games this season, Josh Smith has to grow up.  The uber-talented SF could be a star in the league but seems destined to be one of the bigger headcases.  Last season he fought with Zaza Pachulia and clashed with Anthony Johnson (refusing to run set plays that the PG called).  It also would help if former #2 pick Marvin Williams figured out how to utilize his skills on the court. The Hawks also are going to rely heavily on two rookies, Al Horford moreso than Acie Law.  

Horford is likely going to have to step in and be the #2 scoring option since he should have a better post presence than Smith.  If Horford is as NBA-ready as scouts liked to this, he could give Atlanta a consistent threat in the half-court offense, which the team sorely lacked last season.  On paper, the Hawks have a very solid roster, lacking only one more legit center to backup Zaza Pachulia.  Whether the young guys are ready and if Mike Woodsen can bring the talent together is the main question.

Charlotte Bobcats: PG play, young players need to emerge

If the Bobcats are going to make the playoffs, Raymond Felton has to blossom ala Chris Paul and Deron Williams (or at least a somewhat close approximation), Sean May has to stay healthy, and Adam Morrison has to play like an actual NBA player.  Needless to say, the odds of either of those are looking slim. Felton and Morrison's outside shots are particularly important because while Gerald Wallace and Jason Richardson have improved their jumpshots throughout their career, neither is particularly consistent and most teams will pack the paint and force Charlotte to make them pay from the perimeter.  Sean May's perimeter shot is actually solid but it's not much use if he's on the bench in street clothes.

In the end, the Bobcats need to hedge their bets and go after a good backup point guard and one more good low post player if they want to make it to the playoffs this year.


How the East was Lost: Central Division

Miwaukee Bucks: Defense; Frontcourt consistency

Why the Bucks passed on Corey Brewer or Joakim Noah for Yi Jianlian will never make sense to me.  The Bucks are in dire need of defensive help and either Gator would have helped immensely.  Yi might be very good but he doesn't really add anything that the team isn't getting out of Charlie Villanueva and Andrew Bogut. Desmond Mason was a solid signing at 2 years, 11 million but I don't see him solving the Bucks' defensive issues.

Yi and Mason also won't do much to help the Bucks' offensive issues this season either.  While Michael Redd and Mo Williams were solid (when healthy), Milwaukee never knew what to expect out of Bogut or Villanueva.  Those two need to improve their consistency and their output altogether.  Those two averaged 23 points a game last season combined.  They need to up that by at least 50% if the Bucks want to get back to the playoffs next season.

Indiana Pacers: Three point shooting, guard play

For all the terrible moves that Larry Bird has made, hiring Jim O'Brien to lead the team might salvage the wreck.  The problem, though, is that the Pacers don't have enough three point shooters to effectively run Obie's offense.  After Troy Murphy and Danny Granger, the Pacers don't really have anyone who can nail the three.  Mike Dunleavy Jr. shot a putrid 28% last season. The Travis Diener signing could help out but when you're relying on Travis Diener, your playoff hopes are probably not so good.

While a Jermaine O'Neal, Troy Murphy, Danny Granger frontcourt isn't too bad, the backcourt leaves a lot to be desired.  Jamaal Tinsley is incosistent when he's healthy and  the backup is either Darrell Armstrong or Travis Diener.  Both are OK but are better suited for the third PG slot.  The shooting guard slot is even worse.  Marquis Daniels is solid but not a good fit for the Pacers and the only other true shooting guard is the recently signed Kareem Rush. If Jermaine O'Neal isn't traded now, I can't imagine that we won't be hearing trade demands out of Indy come the trade deadline.

Chicago Bulls: Post scoring

The decision to deal LaMarcus Aldridge for Tyrus Thomas will likely haunt the Bulls for some time.  While  Thomas showed an improved jumpshot during this year's summer league, that's not what the Bulls needed. The draft yieled Joakim Noah who seems more like Ben Wallace's heir apparent than someone who'll complement Wallace in the coming years. Joe Smith is a solid signing but isn't the answer. Neither is second round pick Aaron Gray.  The Bulls still have one of the best teams in the East but until they add someone who they can depend on in a half-court offense, they won't be seeing the Finals.

Cleveland Cavaliers: 2nd star, re-signing their free agents

While Larry Hughes, Drew Gooden, Zydrunas Ilgauskas, Donyell Marshall, and Daniel Gibson are solid running mates for LeBron James, he's still a Batman without a Robin.  As it is now, head coach Mike Brown has to preach defense because he knows that his team won't be able to run with the elite teams in the NBA.  Danny Ferry needs to get LeBron a #2 star or else the Cavs will never be able to get past whichever Western Conference foe they meet in the Finals.  Also, the team needs to re-sign Anderson Varejao and Sasha Pavlovic or find a way to replace them.  If they let those two walk, I doubt the Cavaliers will be picked by many to be the team to beat in their division, let alone the Eastern Conference.

Detroit Pistons: Focus, minutes from the youth

The key to the Pistons is whether the veterans come together and make a real push towards winning.  Last year, the Pistons seemed more focused on yelling at Flip Saunders than giving that extra effort to win games.

One thing that could help the Pistons regain some of their attitude will be a push by the young players to get minutes and help the team.  Jason Maxiell, Amir Johnson and rookie Rodney Stuckey seem the most likely to get minutes and help the team win.  If these players can mature to inject some youthful exuberance into the Pistons lineup, Detroit should be back in the NBA finals.  If there are any finals pieces the team could use, its a shooter off of the bench and one more big body off of the pine.

July 24, 2007

How the East was Lost: Atlantic Division

The Eastern Conference is wide open.  There really isn't a single team that isn't looking to make a playoff push this season.  However, while every team has a reason to expect improvement, they also all have weaknesses that could cause them to fall short of their goals.  While most teams have made their main moves this offseason, how teams address these weaknesses could hold the key to their fates this season.

Toronto Raptors: Consistent #2 scorer; Perimeter Defense

While Chris Bosh is the franchise, no player is more important than Andrea Bargnani.  If Bargnani doesn't improve his game and take over the #2 role by the playoffs this year, the Raptors will likely find themselves sent home in the first round once again. That being said, even if Bargnani does improve, it might not matter. 

The Raptors couldn't stop Jason Kidd, Vince Carter, and Richard Jefferson in the playoffs and they couldn't stop new Atlantic division arrival Ray Allen in the regular season (32 points a game on better than 50% shooting).  While Jason Kapono and Carlos Delfino makes sense on offense but neither is going to help the Raptors fill their need of a defensive stopper at the swing position. The team probably should look into adding a guy like Mickeal Pietrus to hold down the shooting guard spot. 

New Jersey Nets: The post

Relying on Sean Williams and Jamaal Magloire in the post is a recipe for... well, the same results the Nets have had ever since Kenyon Martin left.  Williams and Magloire are solid but Williams needs to mature and Magloire has matured too much.  Nenad Krstic is a very good prospect but he is more of a high post big man on a team filled with shooters. The Nets probably should have pressed a little harder on the Sean May deal (they offered the #17 for him).  In the end, they will likely have to bite the bullet and deal Richard Jefferson for a legit big man if they are ever going to make it back to the NBA Finals.  

Philadelphia 76ers: Maturity; Power Forward, post scoring, perimeter shooting

On paper, the 76ers have filled most of their needs but the problem is that most of the solutions are young players who won't be ready to help out much next season.  The biggest need is a legit PF.  Jason Smith hardly seems like the answer and Thaddeus Young seems more like a SF than a PF.  Sam Dalembert is solid at center but the team needs a PF to help get them good high percentage shots in the half court. Rodney Carney, Thad Young, and Louis Williams could answer the perimeter shooting problems but right now, only Kyle Korver is truly reliable behind the arc. 

Billy King has put together a nice assortment of talent but he has to figure out a way to make them fit together as a cohesive unit.  While he did wonders for the Sixers after coming over in the Iverson deal, Andre Miller might serve them better as a trade asset. This team is a year or two away from making a leap and 'Dre will probably be gone or on the decline by that point.

New York Knicks: Ball movement, Perimeter shooting, defense.

The flow of the Knicks offense will dictate their success this season.  If the ball bogs down in the paint (which it could since neither Eddy Curry nor Zach Randolph is a good passer) or if the guards devolve into shoot first, remember passing is an option second mode, it's going to be a long season in NYC.  Isiah might be able to work out this issue amongst his players but then the issue becomes, can anyone hit an open shot if the ball comes their way?  The Knicks are in desperate need of a consistent outside threat who can keep defenses from clogging the paint.

As for defense, the Knicks have some good defenders on the bench but figuring out a rotation to keep them involved (while not having them become liabilities on defense) will be Isiah's toughest task.  Renaldo Balkman could be up for an All-Defense team this year but his lack of a shot makes it hard to play him at the three.  David Lee is a very good young player but will battle for time with Z-Bo. The Knicks have a lot of individual talent but it will take a masterful coaching job to bring it all together into a winning team.  Most likely, the Knicks are going to have to deal a couple of their young prospects to make this all come together.

Boston Celtics: Defense, Point guard

With Paul Pierce, Ray Allen, and Al Jefferson, the Celtics have a good mix of firepower.  The problem is that these guys will have to be firing on all cylanders every night because the Celtics don't really seem like they are built to stop anyone on defense.  While Rondo is solid and Perk, when healthy, can help, overall the team is going to have to embrace team defense like it did with Jim O'Brien.  Can Doc Rivers and his assistants pull that off?

Rondo seems like a nice talent but he probably isn't ready to run the point for a playoff-caliber team. I'm just not sure whether he is at the stage where he can go toe-to-toe with TJ Ford, Jason Kidd, Stephon Marbury, and Andre Miller. The backups, Sebastian Telfair and Gabe Pruitt, don't instill much confidence either.  If the Celtics are going to get the most out of the Pierce/Allen era, Danny Ainge has to find a veteran point guard to help lead the way. 

 

July 22, 2007

Too Much Ado about Something

Fans rooted for their teams to lose in order to get a better shot at Greg Oden and Kevin Durant.  The term "contract season" is now commonplace because so many players work harder when it's time to sign a new deal (and often go right back into the tank once they make their millions).  Players who are so washed up that they have to be bought out of their contracts often resurface on title contenders and seem rejuvenated.  To act like basketball is some beacon of ethics is laughable and the fact that a ref was influencing games is a definite concern that much be addressed immediately, it isn't much of a surprise.

And honestly, it's not an issue that will destroy the NBA either.  Many people have been pointing to the Suns-Spurs Game 3 as evidence of Donaghy's influence but many of the bad calls or missed fouls were on Eddie F. Rush. If Eddie F. Rush isn't named as one of Tim Donaghy's co-conspirators does that make things any better?  Is it better that the fate of the series was affected by Rush's incompetence than Donaghy's dishonesty?  And it's not like anybody thought referees were completely even-handed before this.  Rookie calls.  Superstar treatment.  Home team advantage.  Something was ALWAYS affecting how games were being officiated.  How many times have you heard someone moan "Oh, that ref is doing the game? We're screwed." Hell, Covers.com has an entire breakdown of officials to help gamblers out. (Home teams fared poorly with Donaghy) Is having a corrupt official a problem?  Of course.  They need to weed out the zebras on the take and make face-saving moves to appease the masses.  In the end, this is little more than a perception problem and one that I personally am not all wound up about.

The funny thing about this is that people are up in arms about the NBA... as if cheating like this doesn't go on in every sport.  You think that there aren't any MLB umpires on the take?  Some NFL officials aren't slipped some bills to give a team a favorable spot or call a pass interference to help out a drive?  As long as millions are being bet on games, bookies will look for ways to fix the games to their advantage.  It's the nature of high profile sports.  If people want to really make a stand against this type of thing, they should stop betting on the games (and ESPN should stop posting the betting lines for every game).  But you know what, I'll keep doing the office pool for football and betting on fights so I just don't feel like I can damn the NBA when I'm doing my part to keep the criminals interested in it.

What does Veronika Zemanova have to do with any of this?  Nothing.  I'm just tired of seeing Donaghy's mug everywhere. 

July 17, 2007

2007 Vegas Outlaws

The Outlaws are the list of Summer League free agents who should be able to find a spot on a team's bench this year.  Not all of them will be perfect fits for the C's but these are guys who deserve a second look from NBA GM's. Unfortunately, what happens in Vegas might just stay in Vegas and they'll face another year of being basketball vagabonds although they probably deserve a shot. (Note: Brandon Wallace and Kelenna Azubuike have been signed so they aren't included in the list.)

G: Aaron Miles
Miles has had a solid career overseas and definitely know how to run the point.  He also knows that he can't shoot.  He rarely looked for his own shot and attempted zero three pointers in the summer league.  However, after a bad first game, he showed what he can do amassing 23 assists and only 1 turnover for the rest of the Summer. With so many teams looking for a backup point guard, it would be hard to imagine that Miles couldn't find a spot at somebody's camp.

G: Pierre Pierce
How does a talented 6'4 combo guard get ignored by the NBA? First, have a shaky three point shot. Second, get sentenced to two years in prison for assaulting your girlfriend.  Pierre definitely doesn't fit the Celtics' new Code of Conduct but he's an undeniable talent.  He had a solid summer league but his questionable range and even more questionable background could keep him in the D-League.

G: Von Wafer
Only 22, Von Wafer will get a shot from someone in this league but he could be another Joe Forte: a talented scorer who can't get focus on the rest of the game enough to stick in the league. 

F: Brandon Bass
Bass was a great prospect at LSU.  The SEC Player of the Year in 2005, Bass was one of the players that many critics said "came out too early".  The problem, of course, was the Bass's stock wasn't going to get any higher.  Not only was he not a lock to repeat as the POY in the SEC, but he wasn't even assured a starting spot.  Glen "Big Baby" Davis was a promising young player on the Tigers, who also had a top recruit named Tyrus Thomas joining the squad. The Hornets drafted Bass #33 but history repeated itself.  After Bass's rookie year, the Hornets traded for Tyson Chandler and drafted Hilton Armstrong and Cedric Simmons, all but eliminating any hope of playing time for Brandon.  Still only 22, he showed himself to be a solid player in the summer and should be a big body at the end of an NBA rotation.

F: Rodney White
A bust? Yes. A guy who can score in the NBA? Yes. White will never live up to his expectations but like fellow lotto bust DerMarr Johnson, White should be able to find a home in his league.  His attitude and defense will be what keeps him from reaching that goal.

F: Alexander Johnson
A rugged forward in the Leon Powe mold, Johnson was recently waived by Memphis but should latch on with another team. 

F: Nik Caner-Medley
A shooter who can also help out on the boards, Caner-Medley would be a specialist in the NBA.  If he can show the ability to consistently hit the NBA three-pointer, some team might find a spot for him. While Nik isn't as good as Jason Kapono, the Heat might want to look at him to replace their marksmam.

C: Noel Felix
Felix is like many Fresno State alums: talented, athletic, questionable game sense, and no real position.  A 6'9 center, Felix is a very good defender who also has surprising range on his jumper.  His lack of height will likely mean that he will forever be a training camp invite/one of the final cuts but soon some team should give him a legit shot at the pros.

C: Dwayne Jones
The ex-Celtic deserves a spot at the end of the bench although his decision making and hands might keep that from happening.  Jones is a solid defender with a so-so offensive game and seems to be the typical D-leaguer who has solid skills but no one strength that makes his useful to an NBA squad.

C: Justin Williams
More of a PF than a center, Williams is a solid defender and good rebounder with good enough offensive game.  He's somewhat reminiscent of fellow Wyoming alum Theo Ratliff.  A restricted free agent, the Kings should re-sign him but they might not be able to now that they overpaid Mikki Moore.

C: Jelani McCoy
A veteran big man, McCoy is solid in every facet and even had a solid season in Toronto, averaging 7/5 in 20 minutes for the Raptors. He just needed to get stronger to find a place in the league.  He never did so he's bounced around but would be a good person to fill Mikki Moore's shoes on the Nets.   

July 14, 2007

Snap Reaction: Summer League Game 5

It was the Big Baby show today.  Granted, he was working against sub-par talent but he still was very impressive.  The Mavericks really have to be wondering why they took Nick Fazekas over him.  Gabe Pruitt didn't really stand out much.  I think his offensive abilities will be put to better use when he is teamed with someone like Ray Allen. 

Hopefully, Allan Ray has played his last game as a Celtic.  I wouldn't be stunned if Gerald Green wasn't in green at the start of the season.  As much as I'd like to give Gerald one more year to grow, I don't think we can realistically improve this team's needs without giving him up.  The downside, of course, is that his value has got to be very low.  He basically was outplayed by guys like Reyshawn Terry and David Noel in the summer league.

Brandon Wallace didn't play much and while he's shown flases, I'm not exactly sold on him as an NBA player. I don't think it was necessary for the team to sign him right now since he seems to be a 10th man.  With the team being so close to the luxury tax, I'm not sure we have money to burn on the likes of Wallace.

Snap Reaction: Summer League Game 4

A nice showing for Gabe Pruitt although I still wouldn't be comfortable relying him for many minutes this season.  Brandon Wallace had his moments although he needs to get bigger to truly be effective.  Right now, he's looking like a poor man's Renaldo Balkman. Big Baby definitely has skills but we really need to see how he fits in an offense.

Gerald Green was Gerald Green.  For all of his gifts, his trademark has become the single frustrated clap.  I never want to see him do that ever again.  He desperately needs to bulk up.  If he had a body like David Noel's, I think he could be a servicable player.

I still want Allan Ray gone.  I see no reason to pick up his option (which comes due  at the end of this month).

The problem Leon Powe might be facing in the regular season was embodied by Noel Felix.  Even a guy with Felix's quickness seemed to be more effective against Leon.  Powe still had a solid game but he still seems like a garbageman as opposed to a defensive stopper. 

All in all, a solid game and a nice showing from Pruitt and Wallace. 

July 13, 2007

Gerald Green: Forward Thinking

Gerald Green is not a guard.  

This is the fact that Celtics fans and coaches need to embrace. Entering his third year, Gerald hasn't improved dramatically and even his supposed stregths on offense are often undercut by his weaknesses. Putting Gerald on the wing and expecting him to create for himself is a recipe for a turnover. Most drives end before they begin because Green is called for travelling when he tries to make his move.  If he gets a step on his man, his sub-par dribbling either leads to a turnover or to the defense easily shifting over to stop him.  Once his drives are cut-off, Gerald's unable to find a correct pass and the drive often ends with him forcing a bad pass or an awkward shot.  For three years now, we've watched this and crossed our fingers, hoping Gerald will improve these flaws. After three years of mild improvement, I think it's time that we look to change our expectations of Gerald and deal with his shortcomings.

At 6'8, 206 pounds, Gerald is light for a forward but he really isn't all that far off from most 'tweener forwards like Hakim Warrick, Tyrus Thomas, Josh Howard, Thaddeus Young, Amir Johnson, Tayshaun Prince.  Perhaps the best comparison is noneother than the misused Boris Diaw.  Coming into the league, Boris Diaw was a 6'9, 201 pound 21 year old guard, which is the same age as Gerald is now, an inch taller and five pounds lighter. Boris filled out (a little too much last season) and has become a far more useful player as a forward than he ever was as a guard.  While Gerald's hoops IQ may never be as good as Diaw's, his odds of succeeding may be far better if we move his focus away from acquiring guard skills and towards honing his current skills and improving his defense. I think refocusing his development on the defensive end will play to Gerald's actual growth.  While his offense hasn't exactly improved much, his defense has shown some strides in the last year.

If Gerald bulked up a bit and worked on his strength, there's no reason he couldn't become a small forward whom we occassionally put on the quicker PF's in the NBA, the Bargnani/Krstic/Villenueva's of the world.  Rather than hoping that Gerald will become the next T-Mac (or even Rashard Lewis), the Celtics would be better off trying to pattern his growth after Tayshaun Prince or trying to turn him into Boris Diaw with a jumpshot. 

Spitballing #4: The Bench Defense

The Celtics have a roster full of talented young players but they may need to clean house in order to bring in some guys who will fill the team's needs, most notably, on the defensive end. Some future picks (probably second round) might need to be thrown into some of these deals to convince the other teams to pull the trigger but I think, in the end, it will be worth it.  

Trade Sebastian Telfair, Kendrick Perkins, and Glen "Big Baby" Davis for Anthony Johnson, Zaza Pachulia

Telfair goes to Atlanta where he could fit in and should have zero expectations on him.  Perkins gives the Hawks a young defensive minded big man who won't try to strangle Josh Smith while Big Baby could be a nice complement to Smith and Marvin Williams. 

Trade Gerald Green and Brian Scalabrine for Robert Swift 

Swift has talent but has been slowed by injured while Green fills a need at the shooting guard spot and Veal is a solid veteran to help the young guys. Giving up Gerald is a risk but I just don't think he's ever going to get it. I'd wait until training camp to make this deal so to give Green one more chance at impressing the coaches and also to make sure Swift is healthy.

Trade Theo Ratliff and Leon Powe for Kwame Brown

While Brown's attitude leaves something to be desired, he's actually a very solid defender and perhaps some time with Clifford Ray could help hone his game.  This deal might be the Celtics sliding in as the third team in a bigger deal for the Lakers but since Kwame is looked upon as little more than an expiring contract, he should easily be had for a bruiser down low, Leon Powe.

Sign Kelenna Azubuike and Devin Brown

Azubuike and Brown are solid backup swingmen who can handle themselves on both ends of the court and should be able to handle big minutes at the 2 and 3.  The Celtics leave one roster spot open so that

 

Line-Up

C:  Zaza Pachulia, Robert Swift

PF: Al Jefferson,  Kwame Brown, Ryan Gomes

SF: Paul Pierce, Kelenna Azubuike, Brandon Wallace

SG: Ray Allen, Devin Brown, Tony Allen

PG: Anthony Johnson, Rajon Rondo, Gabe Pruitt 

Financially, Zaza makes as much as Perkins so that is a wash and Anthony Johnson, Kwame Brown, and Robert Swift are all expiring contracts.  The Celtics have to give up a lot of their young talent but they hold onto Rondo and clear out a little more cap room for next season.  Having first shot at Robert Swift and Kwame will help the Celtics shot at keeping the young big men and worse case scenario, the C's might be able to either get a trade exception or someone back in a sign-and-trade.  For next season, the Celtics add a veteran point guard and better defense at most every position.

July 12, 2007

Snap Reaction: Summer League Game 3

There's only so much that you can tell from a game like this.  China was overmatched from the outset and simply wasn't good enough to hang with the Celtics.  Still, some players maintained their level of play and starred while others seemed to play down to the competition.

When it was announced that Sun Yue was going to start at PG, I knew Rondo was going to have a great game.  Yue is a talented kid but he's too slow to guard NBA point guards.  It's odd that the Lakers drafted him because he's essentially a poor man's Sasha Vujacic (who they don't seem to be overly pleased with).  Rondo looked good at the start, taking the ball to the whole and taking advantage of the mismatch.  He got a little sloppier as the game wore on but overall it was a nice effort from Rajon.

On the downside, Allan Ray is probably playing himself off of the Celtics.  Well, maybe that's not a bad thing because I wanted to waive him last season.  Ray is a solid player but I just don't see any reason to keep him around.  The same might be said for Gerald Green.  Gerald still has all the promise in the world but he still looks completely lost out there and hasn't been able to put it together at all.  The fact that he still hasn't figured out how to start a drive without being called for travelling is very disconcerting and for a great shooter, he doesn't seem to make that many. While I'm afraid of selling low on Gerald, I just don't think this team can afford to go into this up-coming season depending on heavy minutes off the pine from Green.

Leon Powe was a monster and Big Baby showed signs of life.  I'm not sure about Davis as a NBA power forward and still think Josh McRoberts would have been a better selection.  Still, he's talented and could find a niche in the NBA.  Brandon Wallace didn't fill up the stat sheet but he looked good on the defensive end.  He could be a nice fit on a team that is going to need to thrive on team defense.  Gabe Pruitt also looked solid enough on D but didn't show much else.  As for Powe, he's the garbageman supreme, always getting the loose ball and finishing up any missed shots, and after watching him handle Yi and Team China, I feel like he really blew it by coming to the Celtics.  He should have gone overseas a couple of years, ruled the Chinese Basketball Association, and come back as Powe Lee Ahn.  He'd have been a lotto pick.

The best thing to come out of this game though was the fact that Yi Jianlian, a guy we might have drafted at #5 had we kept it, looked absolutely horrifiic.  For all of the excuses the announcers gave him, there's no way that a guy who is supposed to be athletic and uber-skilled should be shut down by the likes of Powe, Davis, Wallace, etc.  Yi's supposed jump-shot hasn't been seen for most of the summer and while he seems to have some nice post moves, they never seem to move him towards the basket.  He'll shimmy a bit and still be stuck with his man ready to swat his shot.  On defense, he's almost useless.  He had a nice weakside block but more often than not, guards get past him or he commits a foul.  On the boards, he's almost always boxed out, be it the offensive or defensive glass.  He's looking like a 22 year old project (since nobody but the announcers believe he's actually 19) and a guy who'll likely be riding the pine this year in Milwaukee. 

The 25 Million Dollar Question

With the NBA salary cap moving up only 3.72 million dollar, the Celtics are currently around 3 million dollars below the NBA luxury tax for 2007-8.  If we dump Allan Ray, we'll open up a little more room but not all that much since he only makes around 600K.  So for this year, it looks like we might be able to add someone for a couple million, or we have to make a trade.

Unfortunately, adding players in a trade is a tough proposition. Looking ahead one year, Ray Allen, Paul Pierce, and Al Jefferson (if re-signed to a contract starting at 10 million dollars) will take up 45 million of the estimated 70 million luxury tax in 2008.  This leaves 25 million dollars remaining on the cap so for any contracts that the Celtics add this year.  Unfortunately, that 25 million doesn't take into account Kendrick Perkins (4 million), Brian Scalabrine (3 million), Rajon Rondo (1.6) and Gerald Green (2.2).  So while many people think that the Celtics have Theo Ratliff's contract to use as a trade chip, what they have to consider is that if we deal Ratliff and don't manage to move any of our other contracts, we'll only have 5 million dollars left to fill out the rest of the lineup. 

And dumping Perkins and Scalabrine probably won't be easy. There aren't many teams looking to acquire questionable contracts for a guy like Veal or an injury prone big man who's still living on potential like Perkins, and there are probably no teams looking to give up expiring contract (let alone actual talent) for them.  The obvious solution to that would be to combine some of our young talent to sweeten the deal but most of our young talent isn't worth all that much. A Veal and Gerald Green package, for instance, could only bring in a guy worth around 5 million and Green's trade value is questionable at best (and not getting any better with his lackluster summer league performance).  Who are we really going to get for that?  A sign-and-trade for Micheal Pietrus? Another issue is that the Celtics bench is already weak so they can't really afford to make any three-for-one type deals. 

I have defended the Ray Allen trade, it definitely is not without its issues.  The Celtics now have a core of Pierce, Allen, and Jefferson, none of whom were healthy last season, and there contracts take up so much space that it will be difficult to maintain a solid bench to either limit their minutes or fill in if one of them should go down for any span of games.  

The Boston Celtics starting lineup is looking better today than it did this time last year but the question now is whether Danny Ainge can acquire the missing pieces despite the financial constraints his acquisitions have put him in.

July 11, 2007

Not So Luxurious

The NBA salary cap was recently announced and the luxury tax only moved up to 67.8 million which doesn't do the Celtics any favors.  After signing Brandon Wallace, the Celtics' payroll is now at 64.4 million.  If we don't pick up Allan Ray's option then the Celtics will be around 63.8.

In terms of future moves, the Celtics could sign someone for about two or three million.  I doubt that the owners will let Ainge go right to the tax limit because if they do, and something goes wrong during the season, the team won't be able to sign anyone to a 10 day contract or else it will put the Celtics over the tax and cost them the revenue sharing that sub-lux tax teams get a piece of.

So basically, the only hope this team has to make even minor changes is via trade. The problem there, of course, is that the Celtics' assets aren't that valuable right now.  In order to get a good point guard, the Celtics will likely have to deal Rajon Rondo.  Perhaps the C's could acquire a capable backup for less than that but we'd be lucky if an Anthony Johnson-level player came that cheaply.  With so many teams looking for backup point guards, it is unlikely to be a buyers market.  Gerald Green wouldn't almost certainly have to be dealt to bring in a big man of middling quality.  

Theo Ratliff's contract loses some value because, whlie other teams might be more anxious to dump a bad contract, the Celtics can't exactly afford to add salary in fear of being over the tax for next season.  Odds are, Ratliff will likely be held onto and Ainge will look to investigate trades at the deadline when more teams might be looking to rebuild and dump a quality player just to get rid of the contract.

In the end, Danny Aingeg is going to have to trade better than he ever has before in order to upgrade the current roster.  And since most teams understand the predicament the Celtics are in, it's unlikely that we'll have any leverage in any trade talks.

Filling in the Blanks: Center

Current Center: Kendick Perkins, Brian Scalabrine

Big Al will likely see a lot of minutes in the middle but the Celtics still need to add a big man who's capable of defending guys like Chris Bosh, Nenad Krstic, and other quick big men.  If they can't get that, at the very least they need a big man who can be an improvement on Perkins, who is solid defensively but can't stay on the floor whether it be injuries or fouls.

The Main Target: Zaza Pachulia (A strong defender and a no-nonsense guy,  He's not that quick but he's probably the best we can afford. Pachulia might be on the block now that the Hawks have Horford and Shelden Williams on the roster.  He's good not great and might not cost too much to acquire.)

Possible Additions: The Odd Man Out in Seattle (Swift, Petro,  and Sene are all solid but are all projects); Darko Milicic (It would take a sign-and-trade but we might be able to roll the dice on Darko who Clifford Ray is a big fan of); Joel Pryzbilla (makes too much, looked terrible last year, but is fairly young and has talent); Aaron Williams (getting older but a solid defender and could come cheaply); Primoz Brezec (a lousy defender but a solid offensive player); Radoslav Nesterovic (two more years on overpaid contract, solid but not great, might not cost too much); Etan Thomas (solid defender but overpaid and just not all that great); Rafael Arraujo (hard worked who's improved to being just sub-par instead of terrible); Jamaal Magloire (solid defensively but bad knees have sapped most of his usefulness); Chris Mihm (Solid but unspectacular and injury prone); Jared Reiner (six fouls); Mikki Moore (we had him once; I'm not sure he's that good sans Jason Kidd); Marc Jackson (Bad on defense but helps the offense); Earl Barron (Solid backup but inexperienced); Jackie Butler (More of an offensive player than defensive, inexperienced); Michael Olowokandi (if it ain't going to get fixed, why change what's broke?)

Longshots:Marcus Camby (the Nuggets would have to be looking to really dump contracts for next to nothing for us to have a shot at Camby); Jeff Foster (Good defender but the Pacers need him and I could see him starting for Jim O'Brien); P.J. Brown (Not much left in the tank and I can't see him thinking the Celtics is a great place to end his career); Dikembe Mutombo (a nice fit but another guy I can't see looking at Beantown to close his career); Dan Gadzuric (Solid but overpaid, the C's can't handle his contract); Sam Dalembert (Camby-like situation in which Sixers would want to just get rid of his contract)

July 08, 2007

Filling in the Blanks: Power Forward

Current Power Forward: Al Jefferson, Leon Powe, Glen "Big Baby" Davis

Obviously, Ryan Gomes will see his fair share of minutes at this spot with Jefferson moving to the center position.  The key for Gomes, and the Celtics big men, is how well he can fare on defense.  The Atlantic division is going to throw a number of looks at the Celtics and while Perkins and Powe should be able to handle their own against the Eddy Curry and Zach Randolph duo in New York, it's yet to be seen if the Celtics have anyone who can match with the more athletic, inside-outside duo in Toronto.

The Main Target: Gerald Wallace (Wallace is more of a SF but he can play the PF in spots and would be a nice complement to Al Jefferson.  The issue, of course, is that in such a weak free agent class, he could demand more money than the C's can afford)

Possible Additions: Tim Thomas (Lousy contract, questionable attitude, but has a game to complement Jefferson and has done well as a team defender alongside Ray Allen in the past); Eduardo Najera (More of a SF than PF, he plays bigger than he is and hustles.  Also can do a solid job defending quicker PF's and is an intelligent team defender); Joe Smith (Smith is battling against time but is a solid big man with good enough perimeter skills); Maceo Baston (honed his skills overseas and is a solid, cheap backup big man); Hakim Warrick (More of a small forward, needs to bulk up and work on his perimeter game); Lawrence Roberts (a hard worker but not much different from Leon Powe); Brian Skinner (a hard working veteran who will shore up the frontline but, again, doesn't add any different dimension to the roster); Justin Williams (A good defensive player and rebounder, Williams is lanky and not all that athletic); Shareef Abdur-Rahim (On the end of his career, he could be a solid addition but his defense is questionable); Erik Daniels (US player who's been playing overseason; solid all-aound game)

Longshots: Aundray Blatche (Blatche is more of a SF in a PF body. He has a ton of potential and a game that would complement Big Al on offense but he's horrific on defense and it would cost a good amount of money to steal him away from the Wizards); Yi Jianlian (Much like Blatche, Jianlian would be a nice complement offensively and a step in the wrong direction defensively); Reggie Evans (Nice role player but nothing spectacular); Stromile Swift (All-world athleticism and that's it.  Solid but not dependable); 

 

July 07, 2007

Filling in the Blanks: Small Forward

Current Small Forward: Paul Pierce, Gerald Green, Ryan Gomes

Tony Allen can swing over to the SF spot but this position isn't as set as most people like to think.  Gerald is still raw and Gomes is a 'tweener who struggles to stay in front of quicker small forwards.  The C's need a guy who can stay with the more athletic small forwards iike Richard Jefferson.  The biggest issue, though, is that this position isn't the biggest issue.  With the C's looking more for help at the backup point guard or big man, the team might not have money to spend on a second- or even third-tier swingman.

The Main Target: Desmond Mason (Can't shoot but is a very strong defender; probably will cost more than the C's can afford on a SF)

Possible Additions: Ime Udoka (a good defender with an imprroving shot, the 29 year old is a nice guy to have off he bench); Brandon Wallace (a high energy rookie who needs to learn the SF spot after being a PF for most of his career);  Devean George (a veteran who can help out defensively); James Singleton (A solid player who is still learning the pro game);  Marquis Daniels (Struggled this season and is overpaid but is a good defender);

Longshots:Matt Barnes (a nice addition on both ends of the floor, Barnes probably won't leave Golden State unless a team makes a rich offer); Ruben Patterson (a strong defender and underrated offensive player, Wyc's Code of Conduct will probably nix bringing in a registered sex offender); Corey Maggette (Limited range, questionable hoops IQ but a gifted scorer who is on the outs in L.A.); Ron Artest (Great talent, greater headcase); Al Harrington (Overpaid but he's a solid player and a nice sixth man);  Travis Outlaw (A guy who still hasn't been able to put it all together, might not have the head for the game.);

Snap Reaction: Summer League Game 1

The C's blew out the Blazers and made Greg Oden's debut one to forget.  That being said, Kwame Brown's summer league debut was very impressive so you never can tell.  That being said, here are the intial reactions from the first game from Vegas.

Rajon Rondo was a notch above everyone not named LaMarcus Aldridge (who was a couple notches above even Rondo). His shot doesn't look much better but I'm not expecting him to ever be a good shooter.  

Gerald Green still looks lost.  His handle has improved but he still doesn't seem to be a better, or more importantly, smarter player.  On the bright side, he looks much better than Martell Webster.

Leon Powe did what he does and looked great in doing it.  He's never going to be a star but he's definiltey someone that you want to have on your bench.  Allan Ray looked better in the second half but I personally don't see why we should spend a roster space on him.

Brandon Wallace (pictured left, from his college days) had an impressive game and seems like he has some potential, but with fifteen players already under contract, it looks like he'll have to be even better to find a spot on this roster.  Even if he makes the team, I don't see Wallace as being anything more than D-League fodder for this season. 

Josh McRoberts looks like he might have been a better fit than Big Baby.  While Josh didn't get a lot of minutes, the defense and passing he did show made more of an impression than anything Davis did.  Gabe Pruitt looked solid and should be a nice player off of the bench.  Taurean Green also seemed like he was an NBA point guard, although his lacks of a shot and athleticism might make it hard for him to make a roster.

July 03, 2007

Filling in the Blanks: Shooting Guard

Current Shooting Guarda: Ray Allen, Tony Allen, Allan Ray

Ray is the man at the two but the other Allen might be just as important.  Tony's defense could be key and if he can't come back from his injury, the Celtics will be in trouble when it comes to stopping opposing shooting guards.  While team defense is important, nothing beats having even a semi-lock down defender. While its fun to have Ray Allen and Allan Ray, I don't really see any reason to keep the second year player.

The Main Target: Kelenna Azubuike: Azuibuike is a former teammate of Rajon Rondo who came out too early but has continued to improve his game.  A solid defender and very good three point shooter, he could be this year's Matt Barnes.  With holes at the PG and frontcourt, the C's can't afford to spend a lot on a backup shooting guard and Azubuike should be the best bargain.

Possible Additions: Devin Brown (A solid all-around player); Sasha Pavlovic (a solid but flawed 2-guard who stepped up defensively in the playoffs); CJ Miles (basically, a smarter but less athletic Gerald Green)

Longshots: Mickeal Pietrus (Only 25, Pietrus has the potential to be a great defender but he will probably cost too much to sign); Morris Peterson (Skills seem to be in decline and he wouldn't help on defense); DeShawn Stevenson (Still only 26, a stopper on defense with an improving but still erratic offensive game, is likely looking for a payday after screwing up contract negoatiations last year)

July 02, 2007

Filling in the Blanks: Point Guard

Current Point Guards: Rajon Rondo, Sebastian Telfar, Gabe Pruitt.

Rajon Rondo adds good defense and is a high energy player the likes of the Celtics haven't really had at the point in some time. Gabe Pruitt could be the Erick Strickland of the current Celtics, a combo guard who can defend and knock down the three while doing a decent job of running the point. I wish Sebastian Telfair the best but he simply isn't going to get a shot here in Boston.  In order for a young point guard to get the most out of his talents, the one thing he has to have is confidence and I don't see Bassy ever regaining his confidence here in Boston.  He need to go somewhere where, for the first time in his career, he can focus on learning to play point guard as opposed to trying to live up to the expecations of being (or being traded for) a lottery pick.  In Bassy's place, the Celtics need a veteran point guard who can help restart the offense if the half-court offense breaks down.  Ideally, this point guard would also be solid defensively and could take advantage of mismatches with other point guards. 

The Main Target: Atlanta's Anthony Johnson.  It might seem odd that the best option for the Celtics comes from a team that was notorious for needing a point guard but the veteran Johnson has playoff experience, can run a team, hit the three, and defend. Johnson also has the size at 6'3 to defend shooting guards and he could open up the C's options for running smallball lineups. Johnson is signed for one more year but with Acie Law IV set to take the reins, he might not cost much to acquire.  The Hawks obtained him for just a second round pick.

Possible Additions: Ty Lue (Johnson's teammate is a great option but injuries and age are starting to wear him down); Earl Watson (Defensive minded point guard who makes too much money and turns the ball over a little too often); Brevin Knight (a solid albeit injury prone guard who has a history of time-sharing with young prospects (Andre Miller/Raymond Felton) Unlike Lue and AJ, he's a free agent); Sam Cassell (close to being washed up, he's got just enough in the tank for one more run.  He's the Clippers only PG.  We might have to take back Tim Thomas's contract to get him); Chucky Atkins (statistically a solid backup but he has more flaws than he does strengths); Rafer Alston (the Rox traded for Mike James and drafted Aaron Brooks so the overpaid, streaky shooting Alston might come cheap.  Still he's a last resort)

Longshots: Chris Duhon (an overall solid point guard, Chicago isn't likely to give him up for the little we'd be offering); Devin Harris/Jason Terry (Dallas is supposedly looking to deal one of these guards but again, the Celtics don't have much to offer); Steve Blake (solid guard looking to return to Portland for a good chunk of change); Chauncey Billups (likely to return to Detroit); Darrell Armstrong (a good PG with ties to Doc, at age 39 he's more of a third stringer than someone you want to be relying on for 20 minutes a game); Mo Williams (a good young PG who's looking for 10 million a year); Jannero Pargo (Decent defender but is a gunner and hardly a steadying force at the point); Carlos Arroyo (Looks the part but hasn't put it together. His team defense is questionable); Jarrett Jack (the Blazers are chock full of point guards and are looking to add Steve Blake back in the mix.  They dumped Zach Randolph for nothing, maybe Jack could be a bargain); Mike Bibby (a big name with a declining game and big contract); Luke Ridnour (they wanted the #11 pick for him, too high a price to pay); Mike Wilks (solid journeyman PG but more of a #3 guard); Jose Calderon (probably will cost too much to acquire)

July 01, 2007

Building a Better Antoine

Love him or hate him, Antoine Walker made Paul Pierce and the Boston Celtics better.  When Danny Ainge took over, he felt that Antoine had a "hold" over this team and that that influence wasn't necessarily a positive one.  What Danny has found in the years sans Antoine is that while Walker's influence was undeniably flawed, the positive aspects of his presence were difficult to replace.

The Celtics first post-Antoine era focused on making Paul Pierce the man and having him be the hub of the offense.  Complementary players like Raef Lafrentz and Ricky Davis were brought in to help Pierce, who would direct the team to greatness.  Obviously, this didn't pan out.  While The Truth is a terrific player, he is better off when he can focus on scoring and doesn't also have to be the key decision maker on the floor.  The Celtics added the remnants of Gary Payton the next year but even that wasn't enough.  When Antoine came back in 2004-5, not only did the Celtics (26 - 27 at the time of the deal) rattle off a 19 - 10 record to close the regular season, but Paul Pierce's game also improved, most notably his three point shooting which rose 13 points (from 32% to 45%).  Unfortunately, the negative aspects of Antoine arose in the playoffs and after an embarrassing loss to the Pacers (and contract demands that weren't in line with his declining skills), Antoine's