« December 2006 | Main | February 2007 »

January 24, 2007

The second coming of the second coming?

Nike's new ad campaign is interesting, promoting the new generation of stars, but it seems like they learned their lesson from last time and stuck with more established players. Nike's "Revolution" didn't exactly pan out as a number of the young guys turned out to be good but not great.

UD34341lg.jpg

LeBron James, Drew Gooden, Tyson Chandler, Dajuan Wagner, Caron Butler, Tayshaun Prince, Richard Jefferson and Amaré Stoudemire

January 05, 2007

2007 GM Rankings!

It's a new year and time to rank the guys in charge to see where our fearless leader stands. The Top Two

RC Buford (Spurs): Whether you give the credit to him or Gregg Popovich, the fact remains that nobody is better in the business than the Spurs. Losing Rasho and Nazr looked bad to some experts but the Spurs reloaded with the cheaper Francisco Elson and Fabricio Oberto. The only complaint is not being able to pull off the much rumored Brent Barry for J.R. Smith deal.

Bryan Colangelo (Raptors) : Colangelo the Younger has only been in Toronto one year but the improvements are many. And the job he did in Phoenix was top notch. While I'm not sold on his deal with the Spurs (taking on Rasho's contract), Colangelo is still one of the best. It's no coincidence that the top best GM's in the NBA are also two of the most savvy when it comes to deals with foreign players.

The Second Echelon

Randy Pfund (Heat): The Heat sold out for the title and now could be feeling the repercussions. That being said, when the 2001 Heat team fizzled, it didn't take long for Pfund to rebuild them into a playoff contender. Two down years and then they were back in the playoffs with Odom, Wade, and Butler. The transition probably won't be as smooth this time but I wouldn't be willing to bet against the Heat coming back sooner than a lot of their rivals.

Donnie Nelson (Mavs): The Mavs have been making great moves since Donnie took over for Don and could be looking at another trip to the Finals. The key move will be to see if they can upgrade from Jerry Stackhouse. Devin Harris' maturation is also going to be interesting to watch.

Joe Dumars (Pistons): Joe was ranked higher in years past but there's trouble on the horizon in Detroit. His recent free agent additions have not panned out, Rasheed is looking older and older every game, and Chauncey Billups is about to be a free agent. Still, the Pistons are a top team and it's because of Dumars.

John Paxson (Bulls): Paxson came into a great situation and made good. The Bulls are back amongst the East's elite but they still need a move or two to get them into a true contender for the title. Giving away J.R. Smith for Howard Eisley and two 2nd round picks is looking like an awful deal right now and Paxson needs to figure out what to do with Ben Gordon and PJ Brown.

Kevin O'Connor (Jazz): I was really down on O'Connor at this time last year but his guys have turned it around. Deron Williams is playing like a #3 pick, Carlos Boozer is healthy, Okur is fitting into his role. As always, the Jazz seem to be that one scorer away. Ronnie Brewer seems more like a great role player off the bench so right now it is on CJ Miles' young shoulders to mature into the man at the 2.

Geoff Petrie (Kings): Before Petrie arrived in Sac-town, the Kings were a laughingstock who hadn't broken the 30 win barrier in eight years. In the eleven years since he's taken over, Petrie's squad has been a playoff team 8 times. The Kings are struggling a bit this year and it should be interesting to see if Petrie can rebuild the team once again.

Larry Harris (Bucks): Harris started off with some great moves but right now and although the Bucks have stalled a bit this season, the team has cap space next season and could be looking to add the final piece of the puzzle. On the downside, Larry fell for the ol' "I Put Up Good Numbers on the Clippers" free agent trap with Bobby Simmons and sold low/bought high in the Ford/Villain deal. His record isn't perfect but the Bucks are in a great place to make a move next offseason.

Purgatory

Ernie Grunfeld (Wizards): Ernie definitely knows what he is doing but he seems like a guy that can build a team into a Conference Finals contender but never a squad that's really competing for the title. His Bucks teams were good but never great and his Wizards seem headed in that direction. Perhaps he can turn Antawn Jamison in a deal and get a better post threat but right now, the Wizards seem like their ceiling is a run to the Conference Finals.

Rod Thorn (Nets): Thorn was on fire at the beginning of his tenure but since drafting Nenad Krstic, the Vince Carter deal is really his only shining achievement. In the meantime, he's utterly failed to add to the roster and hasn't given the Nets the big man that they've been needing. Now Thorn has to figure out if he wants to go for one more run or rebuild, although his cupboard is pretty bare when it comes to potential/trade assets.

Carroll Dawson (Rockets): A decent job building around T-Mac and Yao. But only a decent job. The team still has too many holes and with Yao and T-Mac making so much they simply couldn't afford a mistake like Rafer Alston's contract.

Bernie Bickerstaff (Bobcats): He's been working with a lower cap and some frugal owners so it's hard to argue with the job he's done. Still, the team can't win a game and the talent on the team looks like it could be good but not great. Bickerstaff can't afford to simply let Gerald Wallace and Primoz Brezec walk away but at the same time, he can't afford to overpay them either. And it may be time for Bernie to give up the coaching reins and bring in someone new to run the squad on the court.

Mitch Kupchack (Lakers): He's done a solid job rebuilding around Kobe but nobody is forgetting Shaq. Kwame isn't as bad as people make him out to be but he isn't all that great either. Andrew Bynum's emergence is impressive so the Lakers could be a year and a move away from really making a push in the West.

Larry Bird (Pacers): Bird's made some good moves of late but the team is still mired in mediocrity. After a while, you have to look at your coach and start to wonder if Rick Carlisle isn't the type of coach that whips a team into shape so that someone else can come in and lead them to the promised land. At the very least, it's time to improve at the PG spot so this team can really contend.

Elgin Baylor (Clippers): He made a lot of great moves to get the Clippers into playoff contention but then reverted to form this past offseason. I simply can't believe someone was fooled again by Tim Thomas. While his deal isn't terrible, he doesn't give you anything that a lot of low salary guys like Matt Barnes couldn't add. The handling of Corey Maggette has been horrific and they really need to make sure they get something solid in return for him (and for the sake of chemistry, they have to trade him). And if Elgin even listens for a second to Mike Dunleavy telling him to trade for Mike Jr., Elgin will be back in the bottom of the rankings.

The Bottom of the Barrell

Jerry West (Grizzlies): West's run in Memphis started in the lottery, will never have seen the second round of the playoffs and is looking like it will end in the lottery. He built a solid team but his love affair with acquiring role players and never establishing a second star alongside Pau Gasol was what led to his failure.

Danny Ainge (Celtics): Like his team, Danny is living off of potential. He could make a big move but whether he'll ever be able to is another question altogether. Aside from Pierce, the veterans on the Celtics are an abomination. Ainge will likely have to wait for this offseason to move Ratliff (who'll be an expiring deal) and odds are that Wally won't have much value until the year after that, when his deal is becomes expiring asset. He's drafted very well but after four years, the Celtics are just a collection of talented players and don't look anything like a cohesive team. His best move might have been hiring a scapegoat instead of a real head coach to help buy him some more time.

Rick Sund (Sonics): The Sonics are essnetially what the Celtics don't want to become. A bunch of overpaid role players, a fading superstar, and a good second option who could probably be better if he was on another team. And with Ray Allen getting older, why do you spend three straight first round picks on project centers?

Isiah Thomas (Knicks): Great draft picks but too many bad signings and trades for players who are overpaid, overrated, and have little-to-no trade value. For all of the money being dished out, the team's ceiling is a first round playoff loss.

Billy King (Sixers): King figured out the formula for winning with Iverson (surround him with great defensive minded role players), got to the Finals, and then immediately ignored that blueprint. He overpaid for pretty much everyone he signed and wasted the prime of one of the best that ever played. The cherry on the top is that he then gave away Iverson for a song.

Billy Knight (Hawks): He's got a nice young team but it should be a much better young team than it is. Took over and made some nice moves but then took the players he got in those and moved them in somewhat mind-boggling trades. He got played by Bryan Colangelo and gave up far too much for Joe Johnson when all he really had to do was offer a huge contract (which he did). Putting limited protection on the 2007 pick now means that the Suns get the Hawks pick if it is four or lower. Right now, it's at #4. As of now, his fate seems tied to Marvin Williams.

Kevin McHale (Timberwolves): He's wasted Kevin Garnett's career. He's added bad contract, little young talent, and traded away draft picks. He's overpaid for point guard after point guard and has failed to bring in a second tier talent to put alongside KG.

Incomplete

Jeff Bower: Bower's made nice moves but I didn't understand the Peja Stojakovic signing one bit. The Hornets were building a great young team so why waste cap space on an older, injury prone shooter? A lot is riding on the banged-up bodies of Peja and Tyson Chandler, as well as the questionable potentials of Cedric Simmons and Hilton Armstrong. Bower gets huge points (if Hoopshype is to be believed) for doing something that I thought was obvious when it comes to contracts. David West's deal peaks next year and then declines every following year so as cap space opens up for the Hornets, West's deal is smaller and smaller, giving them more room to add talent.

Mark Warkentien: He got Allen Iverson and JR Smith for Andre Miller, Joe Smith, Howard Eisley and some mid-first round picks. Unfortunately, he also overpaid to bring Nene back into the fold.

Otis Smith: Smith hasn't been there long but has made some very nice moves. I'm not sold on the JJ Redick selection but so far, so good.

Steve Patterson (Blazers): An active draft night but he still has a ways to go before this team is sniffing the playoffs in the West.

Chris Mullin (Warriors): He's made some great draft picks (Biedrins/Ellis) and a steal of a trade (Baron) but in the end, it is all moot because of the bad contracts he gave to Dunleavy Jr., Troy Murphy, and Adonal Foyle.

Danny Ferry: The Hughes signing was a major mistake IMO. And nobody in Cleveland can be all that excited with Lebron's shorter contract. Ferry essentially has three more offseasons before Lebron can opt out and he's capped out for all of them because of Hughes, Damon Jones, and the inherited Eric Snow.

Mike D'Antoni: Following Colangelo is tough enough but making matters worse by giving up a draft pick to take Rondo, Marcus Williams, or Kyle Lowry for "cap reasons" and then signing Marcus Banks for three times as much as those guys would have made is completely idiotic.

January 02, 2007

State of the C's

With the new year upon us, it is time to take stock of where the Celtics are and how we look for the future. The present is obviously not a rosy one and it's time to figure out what exactly we have (or at least, try to figure it out as best we can since so many of our players are young and still living off of their "potential"). The Star: Paul Pierce is the Celtics. That fact has become painfully obvious since his injury. Also painfully obvious is the fact that stars on their second max contract don't seem to be getting the great offers that one would hope for so dealing Pierce may be out of the question. One red flag for me is the fact that Pierce the Ironman is now getting dinged up more often. Last season's elbow issue and now his foot problem might be nothing but odds are that a warrior like Pierce might just be breaking down as he reaches his 30's. While I've been a proponent of dumping Pierce for youth, right now I think that we simply won't get enough to make it worthwhile. We'll be essentially putting all of our hope in the lottery, which is a shaky proposition. Odds are we'd probably be looking at two to three years of terrible basketball before we are close to righting the ship. And that's if we draft well. I think it is time to build around Paul Pierce and get him the help that he needs today.

The Point: While there may be hope for Rajon Rondo, this is our most glaring weakness, a depressing fact seeing as we supposedly dealt with this issue in the offseason. Sebastian Telfair is, at best, a backup point guard who doesn't seem capable of running an offense, let alone making players around him better. Delonte West isn't a pure point guard but could be a nice backup. Who knows what Rondo can give us but I think his lack of a shot is problematic. If our offense is going to revolve around Paul Pierce and Al Jefferson, then our PG needs to be able to hit kick out three pointers. That's not Rajon's game. Odds are that Rondo will be a solid backup, giving us a nice duo of West and Rondo off the pine, but he isn't the PG of the future IMO. Danny Ainge has to address the point guard issue before anything else can happen.

The Post: Big Al Jefferson is the starting center of the future for the Boston Celtics. Unless we get Greg Oden or another center falls in our lap, I think Big Al is likely the man in the middle. And if that is how it is going to play out, then Ryan Gomes becomes a backup PF and we need to acquire a inside/outside player to handle the 4. Someone like AK47 would be ideal. Perkins and Gomes are a good enough backup duo although another banger who can defend quicker PF's would be nice to have as an option off the bench.

The Swingmen: The most difficult decision is what to do with Gerald Green. Personally, I think he is going to be a pure scorer who adds little else to the game. I'm just not sure if that's what we need alongside Pierce. If we can get a good fit at the point or the PF spot by dealing Green, I think we have to. Wally is a nice weapon to have come off the bench but I'm not sure how happy he'd be about that and with cheap owners, we can't really afford to have a big contract on our 6th man. Tony Allen is solid and could be a nice guy to have coming off the pine but he still is a bit too out of control for my taste. In the end, this spot will be the last one for us to fill as what we need here depends on what we get at the point and the 4. But one thing that I think is a must is that the guy we get needs to be able to play defense. Our defense is laughable and we need at least one guy that we can stick on the opposing scorer to give us a fighting chance.

So right now, I think we have our starting C, two of our backup big men, our captain/superstar, and a couple of backup PG's. That's a lot of holes to have after three and a half years of rebuilding.

Hosting by Yahoo!