Ever since Hall of Famer Dennis Johnson left (and yes, I know he hasn't been voted in but I don't care, the man is clearly worthy of the Hall), the Boston Celtics' point guard situation has been too little (JR Bremer, Randy Brown, Dana Barros), too late (Kenny Anderson, Gary Payton) or guys whom we gave up too soon (Billups, Wesley, James). While we can all look to the past and wonder what would have happened had we held on to David Wesley (which would have allowed Billups to develop without the pressure of starting) or selected Tony Parker or Gilbert Arenas instead of Tony Parker, the more useful endeavor would be to check out this draft to see who we can find to end the 10+ years of point guard mediocrity.
Something funny happened along the way to this being the worst PG draft in recent memory: every borderline prospect at the point decided to declare for the draft. While the draft still lacks top notch players, the depth has increased significantly (yet could diminish just as fast if these guys all realize they're draft stock might be better in a year or so). The one problem, of course, is that most of these guys are gigantic question marks. In terms of the one spot, this draft is somewhat similar to 2001, a number of players who could be stars and go mid-lotto but have enough deficiencies to could have them fall to the late first/early second. At 7, the Celtics have a great chance to have their choice of the best of the lot but that brings up the unanswerable question of Who's the best in the draft?
Randy Foye? The critics immediate cry would be that he isn't a true PG. In fact, his teammate Kyle Lowry is more of a pure PG. Those who like Foye (Foye Toys?) will immediately point out that, sticking to the 2001 comparison, the issues people levy against Foye were the same that they levied against Arenas. While Foye might not be an ideal PG, he fits two of the most important factors which allow players to overcome this: he's got a great attitude and is a strong leader. If you don't mind not having a true PG, then Randy is likely your first choice and a reasonable selection at #7.
Marcus Williams? The best pure point guard right now. "Right now" being the operative term because he the Jamaal Tinsley of the draft; what you see is what you get. He has a lower ceiling than many of the other prospects but the fact remains that his current ceiling is something many of these other guys may never reach. He would be the sure thing point guard of the draft (even moreso than Foye) if it weren't for questions about his attitude. He had a spotty record when it came to off-the-court decision making (the laptop fencing, the inability to stay academically eligible) and his workouts so far have been underwhelming. While the current workouts don't highlight his strengths, he hasn't helped himself by showing up out of shape. If the character issues don't bother you, Marcus is the most likely to help from day one, which is something Danny, and many Celtics fans, would love to see out of their draft pick.
Ronnie Brewer? Ronnie's not a point guard. He can handle the position but he's a Dee Brown type point man; someone you can be handle the position but isn't going to stop anyone in the front office from looking for a real PG.
Mardy Collins? If we trade down with New Orleans, Mardy has to be an option. He can run the point and would be a very interesting complement to Delonte West in the backcourt. His workouts have been unimpressive as it's highlighted his weakness, shooting. Some might say that Mardy is the Jeryl Sasser of this draft but I think that comparison is unfair to Collins. Unlike Sasser, Mardy's defense and knowledge of the game should help him hang around the league for years. 7 is way to high to take Mardy who'll likely be good, not great. In my opinion, the Celtics can't really afford that luxury and need to find a difference maker at the point.
Rajon Rondo? With his elite athleticism and pure point guard skills, Rondo has the highest ceiling of any PG in the draft. He could easily become a Tony Parker type PG. The problem, unfortunately, is that he also could be Omar Cook. Rondo is a roll of the dice. His playmaking skills are undervalued but that's because they are underdevloped. Kentucky used his more as a slasher, almost a two guard, rather than letting him run the show. He is a true pass-first point guard which is good but he's also a pass-second point guard too because his jumper is beyond lacking. Some people have said he struggles with his shot because of his large hands but that is more of a problem than an excuse because it means that his shot is a physical issue and not something that he can easily fix. Rondo is a reach at seven but would make a decent investment if we trade down. He is a couple years away from consistent minutes but when he finally gets those minutes, it could be special.
Sergio Rodriguez? The Spanish Magician isn't the athlete that Rondo is but is a more complete offensive players. The other end of the floor isn't so kind to him though. Sergio makes Steve Nash look competent on the defensive end and would likely need a year to work on his defense before he could really get minutes. While some people compare his game to Nash or Jason Williams, he could also be Sasha Vujacic or better shooting Doug Gottlieb. Sergio would be another candidate at around #15 but he also isn't someone who is going to help out any time soon.
Quincy Douby? He's the ideal PG for the triangle. He can handle the ball and can knock down the trey. Unfortunately, we don't run the triangle so he seems like a poor man's Delonte and someone we don't really need.
Jordan Farmar? Basically, he's a college-level PG. He is all potential and that potential isn't all that awe-inspiring. He's not athletic, isn't great at shooting and needs to work on his defense. The only two reasons coming out now could help him is that he A) could get selected by a team who already has a PG which will allow him to learn on the job or B) he might be the new Chris Thomas or Daniel Gibson, a point guard who's value plummetted the longer they stayed in college. If that's the case, he should stay in the draft and we should avoid drafting him.
Kyle Lowry? Here's another guy who might not be as highly touted in a year or so. His situation is worse than Farmar's however because he would be returning to a team that isn't nearly as good as the one he had this year. While he could rise to the occasion, the odds are more likely that teams will be able to key on his weakness and expose them more. Compared to the rest of the PG class, he has one of the lower ceilings. If we acquired a late first, he'd be a very solid choice but like most late first round PG's, he probably wouldn't be ready to contribute for a year or two.
Guillermo Diaz? An athletic freak. He doesn't know how to run the point and is more of a two guard than a point. He hasn't been playing basketball for very long and while projects like this are usually OK for centers, point guard is a tough position to pick up late in one's career. He might make a nice pick for an established team but right now he seems to be a high risk, medium reward prospect.
Sleepers? Are there any second round picks who could surprise and become stars in this draft?
Daniel Gibson was a supposed top 3 choice heading into the college season but his selfish and uninspiring play now has him as a second rounder. His decision making was horrific at times. The kid definitely can play the game but he needs a complete on-court attitude adjustment if he wants to make the NBA.
Darius Washington is another super-athlete with point guard skills who seems a little too in love with either his own game or the sound of the ball hitting the floor. Like Gibson, Washington dribbles entirely too much and needs to realize his role in the offense. A lot of his weakness are things he just needs to work on but that always prompts the question, why the heck isn't he working on them? Coming into workouts too heavy hasn't exactly helped ease people's anxieties that he might be a player that never truly gets it.
Will Blalock and Dee Brown are two seniors who could step in off the bench this season for someone. I'm not sure either will ever become a starter in the league but they both have the ability to stick in the league and be great contributors.
With the #7 we most certainly can take someone who could help us at the point. Rondo and Rodriguez are two gambles that we may want to look at if we trade down while Williams and Foye are the two "safest" picks. That being said, the biggest assist Foye and Williams could give the Celtics is if they go in the top six as that would allow one of the top prospects in the draft to fall to us.