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September 29, 2006

Not what I want to hear from Doc

The Celtics never won three games in a row last season and one of the reasons is that the Celtics rotation was always changing. This season, Doc Rivers needs to realize that the only person that will set the Celtics rotation is Doc Rivers. While it might seem like a given that the coach sets the rotations, Doc is once again dreaming of a world in which the players sort themselves out by their play on the court.
"I don't think we ever had one and I don't think we were a team that should have had one. No one separated themselves enough to have one," Rivers said. "I do think there will be separation this year where last year I don't think I ever made that statement."
Huh? While Big Al might be skinnier now, I'm not so sure he's going to outperform Gomes night in and night out. Perkins is the likely starter but, like last year, his health and foul trouble will be the key to him staying on the court. The backcourt situation is actually worse (in terms of rotation) than last year because it got so much better. The PG spot is completely up for grabs while Gomes, Allen and Green will still battle for Wally's minutes (Not to mention that West will likely also be in the mix for some 2-guard run and Allan Ray could fight for some time).

At least Danny understands the issue, "Doc has some work cut out for him. There's going to be some worthy players of playing time that aren't going to get playing time this year. ... I'm excited that we have those choices." Doc needs to take the reigns of this team and stop with the laissez-faire attitude. The Celtics rotation is not going to work itself out. Well, besides Veal playing himself to the end of the bench. While talent might ride the pine, it's Doc's job to create the "separation" and stick with one rotation. If he hedges his bets like he did last season, the C's will struggle once again to put together a string of wins.

Say what you want about the Celtics uniforms but...

I'm glad we stick with the basics and don't have to go through ridiculous changes like this time and again.

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September 22, 2006

The Comeback begins in Oakland... and Russia.

AAFS029~Dajuan-Wagner-Photofile-Posters.jpgI've always been hoping that Dajuan Wagner could make a comeback to the NBA and it looks like the Warriors are going to give him a shot. While I'm happy for Dajuan, I don't really get why the Warriors would be the ones to sign him. With Baron Davis and Monta Ellis already on the roster, they seem like they need a third PG who is more of a pure point as opposed to another scoring lead guard. I'm not sure how much run Wagner's going to get but it's good to see him back in the league.

Sitting on the pine wasn't an option for another can't-miss prospect. The former internet draft site phenom Maciej Lampe has signed to play in Russia, citing a desire to play and get better as opposed to rotting away as a 12th man. The Bulls apparently were interested but Lampe was smart enough to realize that he was not going to crack their rotation in the coming future. Lampe had one huge game but didn't really show anything in his time in the NBA. Maybe a little P.T. is all he needs but I think odds are that we won't be hearing from him again... unless the U.S. runs into Poland in an international game in which case he'll probably lead the Polacks to an upset.

September 21, 2006

Get to the point

If there's one issue that the Celtics needs to figure out before the season starts, it is who is there starting point guard. Right now, we have Delonte West, Rajon Rondo, and Sebastian Telfair each vying for the reins of the team. This can not be allowed to become a full-fledged PG controversy or else the C's will suffer. In particular, I think Telfair needs to know his role from the beginning. He can't be left out of the loop as he seemed to be in Portland. If the Celtics truly want to be a running team, they need to solidify their point guard rotation or else they'll be headed nowhere fast.

p1_cover030804.telfair.jpg Right now, I think Telfair almost has to start, not only because we traded a lotto pick for him but because his confidence needs it. While he might come off as self-assured, I think another situation like the one in Portland will kill his on-court psyche. He doesn't need to finish the games but starting seems like a no-brainer right now. I've always liked West as a combo guard off the pine and think he'll deliver in that role better than at the point. The wild card is Rondo. He struggles shooting and is a rookie, but his defense could make him a closer. Also, I think Rondo is a perfect mix and match player to help give the Celtics different looks. He and Tony Allen are a very strong defensive team while I'd love to watch him and Gerald Green running the fast break. Then there's the short yet smart backcourt of Rondo and West.

Doc is going to have his work cut out for him when it comes to the rotation but I think he has to lock down his point guard situation before the first tip-off or else the rest of the position battles will be moot.

Cap Space: The Misunderstanding Continues

The belief that salary cap is overrated is being floated again, this time by Ira Winderman. Winderman recently wrote an article calling salary cap room the NBA's opiate. The article was published in The Sporting News, however, the way that it glosses over counter-arguments and overlooks facts, you'd think it was a piece for Fox News.

Winderman starts off explaining that cap space doesn't help many teams and pointed to the woefully run Atlanta Hawks as his example. While he does acknowledge that others teams helped themselves through free agency this off-season (Chicago, New Orleans), the fact that he uses Atlanta as his example is priceless. You could pretty much argue anything using them. Lottery picks are overrated. Drafting big over small is not the way to go. Trading for former All-Stars is a bad idea. Not only that but the Hawks are exhibit A as to why salary cap room is better than having to make a sign-and-trade. The Suns bluffed that they would resign Joe Johnson and the Hawks fell for it so instead of merely overpaying for Joe, they dealt two picks (including their 2007 pick only top three protected) and Boris Diaw. The Hawks were the ones holding all the cards but, unfortunately for the one remaining Hawks fan, Billy Knight is clueless and made a horrific decision.

Winderman then shifts gears and states that trade exceptions are overrated. While I somewhat agree with this, his defense is fallacious. He points out that the Suns and Sixers not using their exceptions as examples of why they are overrated. The problem is that the reason that those teams didn't use their exceptions was because they didn't want to add payroll. The Sixers didn't use their MLE or LLE either. Should we assume that those are useless as well?

The bottom line is that salary cap space is important because it gives a team flexibility in trades and will allow them to add some very useful pieces to their roster. The only problem is that many fans (and writers)hear the term "cap space" and have delusions of grandeur. They envision a superstar arriving to don the hometown jersey and save the day. In reality, there are very few top players who will make it to free agency. And there are even fewer destinations where the free agent stars will consider going. Boston has never signed a top-of-the-line free agent. Not since Xavier McDaniel and Dominique Wilkins have we ever even signed someone who casual fans might know. Many teams are in this predicament; stars prefer warm climates and contenders, many times in that order. Still, cap space can allow teams to add young role players. While Winderman might call this "illusory", it's actually just intelligence. Knowledgeable fans understand the importance of cap space while only the most blind loyalists hang their hat on cap space being the be all, end all.

Finally, Winderman himself makes the most common mistake regarding cap space: space today means players today. The Hawks actually were smart not to throw all of their cap space at the below-average free agent class of '06. They only came away with Speedy Claxton and Lo Wright (which isn't that bad an offseason) but they will have space next year which should have not only a better crop of free agents, but could have a star or two on the trading block. And those guys could be had for, of all things, cap space.

September 19, 2006

Purple is the new Vancouver

The Raptors have announced that they will be changing up their uniforms and that purple will no longer be one of their team colors. Now if they'll just change their name from the Raptors they might come off like a real NBA team. This really isn't news but any mention of the Raptors means an opportunity to watch Gerald Green again.

September 17, 2006

The Idiocy of the NCAA

With rumors that Reggie Bush and his family received over $100,000 in "benefits" while he attended USC swirl around, a more troubling story about a player NOT being able to receive money is being overlooked. Malcolm Gladwell looks into the story of Ramon McElrathbey.
Ramon McElrathbey is a cornerback for the Clemson University football team. He is one of seven children. His mother is a crack addict, and his father has a gambling problem and is no where to be found. He grew up bouncing around foster homes. This summer, he decided--with his mother's consent--to take custody of his 11 year old brother. They now live in a cramped off campus apartment, as McElrathbey tries to be a student, athlete, brother and father simultaneously. When a story was published about McElrathbey in alocal paper, he was deluged with donations and gifts and offers to help. But of course Clemson had to step in and say no. Why? Because receiving any kind of outside financial assistance, if you are an amateur college athlete, is against the NCAA's rules.

This is, of course, ridiculous. In fact, it is more than ridiculous: it is inhumane. At a certain point, aren't we better off without the NCAA altogether?
More from Gladwell at his blog , but this is another reason why I think that the rule banning high schoolers from the NBA is ridiculous. The NCAA doesn't care about these kids and let's be honest, neither does the NBA. While the usual response is "Well, these guys make their money in the pros and shouldn't complain", the fact is that most of players will never see a professional dollar and are being used by a system which lets schools and coaches get fat while the athletes have to play for free.

I found this story over at Truehoop.com , one of the best hoops blogs out there.

September 15, 2006

A Shrewd Move by McHale

Depending on which theory of hiring you subscribe to, Kevin McHale made a nice move to hire Rob Babcock as an assistant GM. Babcock had a lousy run in Toronto and was one of the worst GM's in the league when he was finally shitcanned so either McHale hired him because it makes McHale look better by comparison or Kevin might believe the mathmatical law of "Two Negatives Make A Positive" holds true in the workplace. However, if hiring someone based on talent, intelligence, and a proven track record is your M.O., then this move is in line with most of Kevin's crappy decisions.

September 12, 2006

All the Perks

Danny done good. The signing of Kendrick Perkins was a pleasant surprise as Ainge somehow convinced the young and ever improving big man to sign for 4 million a year over the next four season. If you don't know what a bargain that is, it's 2 million less than Jerome James or Etan Thomas, a million less than Brendan Haywood and just one million more than Francisco Elson signed (who has eight years on the 22 year old Perkins. And if those numbers don't impress you, how about this: it's just one million more than Brian Scalabrine.

While I'm not sure how well a Perkins/Ratliff frontcourt matches up in the new fast paced NBA, the bottom line is that we have a great locker room veteran in Ratliff and a hard working young big man who makes next to nothing. Well done Danny.

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September 07, 2006

The Calm Before the... Calm?

The old adage "No news is good news" was never more spot on than this offseason for the Celtics. While most everyone in Celtic Nation eagerly/anxiously awaited Danny Ainge's next move, something else happened. Our owners decided to actually try to wait.

Asked about the biggest challenge of owning the Celtics, Grousbeck said, ``The patience to go `young and athletic,' which is a multiyear process. But the roster we inherited did not have championship upside potential, so we had to go younger and invest long-term."
When I read that quote in the Boston Globe, I couldn't have been happier. Do I trust Danny? Hell no, but the fact remains that I'd rather have to deal with Danny building a team at his own pace instead of watching Danny try to cobble together a roster while keeping a couple of impatient venture capitalists happy. Owners always want the big name in spite of talent. Just look at the Red Sox. Theo didn't want Beckett but Larry Lucchino did. As usual, the GM was right while the owner was wrong. (And of course, the Atlanta Hawks prove to be the exception to this rule since ousted owner Steve Belkin knew they shouldn't have given up so much for Joe Johnson).

Waiting to make a deal doesn't just make sense, it's the ONLY thing that makes sense. While people can dream up trade scenarios for KG, Jermaine O'Neal, and others, the fact remains that the guys we were most likely getting were on the Kenyon Martin/Carlos Boozer/Zach Randolph echelon. In time, Wally should be healthier but even if he isn't, his contract still becomes more manageable. Not only is Theo Ratliff a great locker room guy but he's a must in the middle (where we really only have Perkins) and will be an expiring deal for the 2007 offseason. Boozer and Randolph are known commodities and would be Celtics for years to come. The problem is that nobody can be sure if the reason for their Celtic tenure woud be because they lived up to their potential and helped the Celtics win or because they struggled and became immovable contracts. Jefferson and Gomes might be bigger question marks in the short term but any failure on their part won't linger over the team for the long term. (Assuming Danny doesn't make a Mullin and sign his busted picks to big, long term deals).

This might sound odd but even though I don't think the Celtics will be very good this season; I haven't been this optimistic about our future in quite some time.

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