BIG WIN! Finally had some picks come through for me last week so I made a decent chunk of change. Going off of my Yahoo! Pick ‘Em league, I’m 42 – 33 against the spread and 52 – 24 in picking winners straight up. Sadly, the games I choose to bet usually seem to be the ones that I get wrong.

Still, last week I won $275, which I believe leaves me at around $200 in the black for the two weeks that I’ve actually gotten around to betting this weekend. Let’s see if I can keep the momentum.

Colts -3 over TEXANS: Well, I didn’t have faith in the Texans last week and they covered the spread (but lost the game) however I like the Colts better than Dallas and the short week could slow Arian Foster down. I’m going with Colts -3 for $25.

Patriots -3 over BILLS: While I am a Texans doubter, I’m still a Bills believer and am not sure if the Patriots will be able to maintain the momentum (or the concentration) that they had last week against Cincy. Also, I think the Bills’ defense line could cause a lot of problems for Tom Brady and Co. I’ll take the Pats to win but I’m not betting on it.

Carolina +7 over CINCINNATI: I might change this, depending on what’s up with AJ Green. My original thought was that Cincy would be focused to make up for their awful performance on Sunday Night (and the game is at 10am and nobody will be watching them so they won’t choke) but if Green is hurt, they might not have enough weapons to cover the spread. For now, I’ll go with Carolina to cover but no bet.

Pittsburgh +2 over CLEVELAND: Old habits die hard but I just think the Steelers are the better team. They haven’t been blowing me away, however, so I’ll stay away from betting on this one.

Jacksonville +6 at TENNESSEE: Obviously I’m not putting money on Jacksonville but I think they could give the Titans problems, especially since they are on their third string QB right now. And moving on from the Toby Gerhart experiment will probably help the offense. Not sure that they can take the road W but I’m feeling pretty good about them keeping it close.

Packers -3.5 over DOLPHINA: The Packers offense is finally clicking and their defense is making enough plays to be a semi-respectable unit. Ryan Tannehill is feeling good after a throttling of the Raiders in Londom but I think the Fish come back down to Earth when they face a real NFL team. $25 on Packers -3.5.

Detroit 1.5 over MINNESOTA: I’m a fool for always picking Detroit on the road but I can’t seem to help it. At least I’ve learned not to put money on the Paper Lions.

Denver -8.5 over NY JETS: NY always seems to rally whenever their coach is in peril. The Giants are better at it but the Jets have done enough to keep Rex Ryan employed. However, I think that run is about to end. The Jets simply aren’t a good team and I’m not sure how fired up many of them are to keep Rex around. $20 dollars on Broncos -8.5.

Baltimore -3 over TAMPA BAY: Tampa Bay stunned the Steelers but I’m sure the Ravens are aware of that and won’t let themselves get surprised by the Bucs. Also, Vincent Jackson is a little banged up so the passing attack, already down Mike Evans, might not be able to carry the day.

San Diego -7 over OAKLAND: The Raiders are terrible and the Chargers have enough injuries each week to keep them from resting on their laurels. MAYBE Oakland shows some pride and saves face by keeping it close but I’d be surprised if the Chargers didn’t put the hammer down on them early and often. $15 on Chargers -7.

Chicago +3 over Atlanta: Like Pittsburgh, Chicago is a team that I have a hard time believing aren’t as good as I seem to think they are. But also, I think the Falcons are a mess and Matt Forte should be able to have a monster game against them. No bet.

Washington +3 over Arizona: I’m wavering on this one because Arizona is banged up and Washington isn’t THAT bad and they kept it close with Seattle on Monday Night. Ultimately though, I think Arizona is pissed off and, well, I have to eventually pick a home team, don’t I?
EDIT: Or maybe I don’t. With Carson Palmer out and Drew Stanton recovering from a concussion, I’m going to put my hopes in Washington to surprise the Cardinals on the road.

Dallas +8 over Seattle: I might end up changing this one but for some reason, my gut is telling me that the Cowboys are able to keep this one close. The one reason I might change it, besides the fact that I’m picking yet another road team, is that the Seahawks played a VERY sloppy game on Monday so they might be more focused than usual. Obviously, no bet on this one since I can’t even decide who to pick when no money is on the line.

PHILLY -2.5 over NY Giants: Eli is back! stories are starting to pop up which means it’s probably time for a return of the Eli face. This could be the game of the week but ultimately, I’m going to go with the home team.

San Francisco -3.5 over ST. LOUIS: The Niners have blown some games so they need to take care of opponents that they know they can beat. And they know they can beat the Rams. And so do I so $25 dollars on San Fran -3.5.

As for Teasers/Parlays:

$100 6 point teaser on Denver -3, Chargers -1.5, San Fran +2.5

$20 parlay on Denver -9, Green Bay -3.5, Colts -3, Chargers -7.5, Niners -3.5

$20 6 point teaser on Bears +9, Broncos -3, Packers +2.5, Colts +3, Steelers +8.5, San Diego -1.5, Niners +2.5

Progressive Parlay: Ravens, Bears, Broncos, Packers, Colts, Steelers, Chargers, Niners (the line for each game; just got too lazy to type them all out again.)

 

BE WARNED THIS REVIEW HAS SPOILERS!

Again. SPOILERS.

OK, now that that is out of the way, “Gone Girl” was basically everything I feared it would be when I heard who was directing it and who was cast as the leads. Not that I dislike David Fincher but I think he’s a little too cold to sell the first half of the book. Now part of me thinks the problem might have been that, having read the book, I knew what was going to happen but even still I didn’t think Fincher’s tone and choices helped sell Amazing Amy as the book had.
Also not helping was Rosamund Pike, who I feel like always seems a bit disconnected and icy in her roles. I didn’t really feel like there was much of a change to her Amy. She didn’t sell the original, filled-with-life Amy to me. I think the role needed someone you were used to seeing in those roles and then have them subvert that take. Rachel McAdams would have been a good choice. Even Gwyneth Paltrow could have done a better job. Similarly, I never bought Affleck as a Missouri guy pretending to be something else. I think he’s too ingrained as a Northeastern Liberal Elite for me to buy into him in this role. Or as a guy who liked reality TV and Outback. Not to pick the It Boy of the moment but someone like Chris Pratt would have been a better choice.
And the ending. Man, the ending. While I loved most of the book, I felt completely disappointed by the ending and I had read that they had altered it to fix it. Instead, what they took away (if I remember correctly) was that Amy was holding something over Nick’s head which kind of forced his hand a bit. Although staying was still his choice and, well, it fell as flat in the movie as it did in the book.
All of that being said, the movie was fine. I thought it was better than Girl with the Dragon Tattoo but I think it’ll be a film that is forgotten over the years. Also, I have to agree with the tweet that I read that complained that Fincher had become rather conventional. While I was impressed with how they handled the plot device of the diary entries, direction-wise, there really wasn’t anything that felt all that inspired. I’m not saying that I need something like “Panic Room”‘s camera moving through coffee pots but the whole thing just felt as cold as Amy was believed to have been.
The best part of the movie was the humor. I know that a lot of people point out the social satire in the movie but do we really need more jokes about how awful cable news is? About how perception is more important than reality? Isn’t the Catch 22 of it all that in order to be in on the jokes about the stupidity of the shows that the masses watch, one has to watch the shows themselves? Don’t get me wrong; the moments were funny and well one but I just felt more of a nodding acknowledgement of the joke than anything that laugh out loud funny. And on a related note, I’m sure many Republicans will start calling themselves Nick Dunne, victims of the out of control “War on Women” that is labeling honest men as criminals and the media painting them as victims. Obviously, that’s not the point of the movie but since when do these guys ever need to care about actual points being made.

I was pleasantly surprised by Tyler Perry. Kim Dickens and Carrie Coon but did great jobs, Scoot McNairy nailed another small role, and Neil Patrick Harris was sufficiently creepy in the role of Desi.
In the end, “Gone Girl” was just fine. Again, maybe some of that has to do with the fact that I knew where the story was going but whereas the book inspired enthusiasm, the movie simply kept my attention.
“Gone Girl” is one of those films that I won’t argue against but I certainly would never argue for. I can understand why people like it and agree with the people who didn’t. I expect it to end up in a lot of Snubbed lists come award season; unless this Winter is terrible, I just don’t see it garnering the love that many people were projecting for it.

 

Well, I’m a two time winner in my office pool and just over .500 for the season against the spread but my week 1 tally for bets was a horrid $70 in the red. Let’s hope I can do better now that I’m back betting.

Green Bay -8.5 over Minnesota<: After a rough start to the season, the Packers should be focused and hitting on all cylanders. The Vikings are no slouches but Teddy Bridgewater is injured and is still just a rookie. I don’t like the big spread so this is a NO BET but I’ll probably take the Packers on a teaser.

Chicago +2.5 over Carolina: Things are pretty brutal in Carolina. Their running backs are banged up, Cam Newton is hurting, the defense has been a mess. And Chicago has got to be kicking themselves over their loss to the Packers. I’m pretty stunned that the Bears are underdogs, even on the road, so I’m going to bet Bears $20 to win straight up (+115).

Cleveland +1 over Tennessee: I have about as much interest in betting this game as I do in watching it. But with Jake Locker potentially out and the Browns coming off of a bye, I’ll take the Browns for the upset. But, again, NO BET.

Philadelphia -7 over St. Louis: St. Louis had a bye to put things together but I’m not sure they have the personnel to do it. LeSean McCoy has got to be chomping at the bit to have a big game. I’ll go with $15 on Eagles -7.

New York -4.5 over Atlanta: Atlanta’s defense seems to be horrible but who knows what Eli Manning and Giants team will show up or if Matt Ryan and Co. can slice up New York’s secondary. I do think that the Giants could be on one of their “Don’t count us out!” upswings so I’ll go with the G-Men at home -4.5 for 10 bucks.

New Orleans -10 over Tampa Bay: I’m done better on the Saints. They seem to be a step away from being the Patriots South; a one-time contender on the decline. They should be able to destroy the Bucs at home but I would have thought the Steelers could have done the same thing in Tampa Bay. I’ll pick NO but NO BET.

Dallas -6 over Houston: I’m just not a believer in Houston and I think the Cowboys are better than experts were giving them credit for. With Arian Foster and Andre Johnson banged up, I’ll go with Dallas -6 for $25.

Buffalo +7 over Detroit: Detroit is another team I should stay away from, so I will, but Buffalo is the kind of team that will always stay in the game. With Calvin Johnson and Joique Bell banged up, I like Detroit to stay close enough. And with Detroit, staying close enough is often enough as they seem to have a knack for blowing games. Still, NO BET.

Indianapolis -3.5 over Baltimore: This is the toughest game to predict so I’m staying away from it. NO BET.

Pittsburgh -6.5 over Jacksonville: The Steelers have to be fired up about the loss to the Bucs last week and, well, the Jaguars just aren’t that good. This is my Suicide Pool choice of the week and I’ll make it my big bet as well, going $40 on the Steelers -6.5.

Denver -8 over Arizona: I’m going to put a little money on this one simply because I don’t believe in Drew Stanton. Denver’s defense hasn’t been living up to its paychecks but I’m thinking that a week off could help them. The Cardinals are an underrated team and could surprise but I’ll put a small $10 on Denver -8.

San Francisco -6.5 over Kansas City: The Chiefs looked unstoppable on Monday Night but that might have more to do with the mess that are the New England Patriots. San Francisco is a wildly unpredictable squad and I think this could be a close one. NO BET.

San Diego -7 over NY Jets
The Jets have to make the cross country trek and Geno Smith just isn’t playing that well. San Diego seems primed for another early season win streak that will ultimately end in disappointment for their fans but I’ll ride the wave for now. $15 on the Chargers -7.

Cincinnati -1 over New England: I’m going to stay away from betting on my Patriots, especially since I’d hate to bet against them coming off of that horrible loss but I think the fact of the matter is that Cincy is the better team. NO BET.

Seattle -7.5 over Washington: A great defense against Kirk Cousins? I’ll take it. I also think that Washington’s defense was overrated after some easy opening games. Let’s go with Seattle for $10.

As for my Teasers/Parlays:

$10 Progressive Parlay: Packers, Bears, Eagles, Cowboys, Steelers, Chargers, Bengals, Seahawks

$20 6 point teaser: Seahawks, Chargers, Steelers, Eagles, Packers, Bears

$50 6 point teaser: Seahawks, Bears, Steelers

 

“Manhattan Love Story” isn’t just cliched but it starts out by introducing us to two characters that most people wouldn’t want to hang out with for 30 seconds, nevermind 30 minutes a week. The show opens with the male lead just saying “Yes” to the women he’d sleep with and the lead woman saying “Yes” to purses she wants. And, of course, the girl is from the South and is learning how to make it in the Big Apple, where she just moved. Analeigh Tipton is a very likable actress but it’s hard to bring much of anything to the most generic of archetypes.
The “hook”, if you can call it that, is that the show lets us into the character’s thoughts by having boat loads of voiceover. Yep, these bland characters tells us outright exactly what they are thinking and what they usually think is a bunch of easy jokes and annoying self-awareness.
Honestly, I really don’t know how this script ever got off the pile of potential pilots. I assume that the network really wanted to work with Jeff Lowell (writer of the underrated “Jonathan Tucker Must Die”) or Lowell just has a great agent.
The only reason that this won’t be the first show cancelled this year is that it might be cheap and ABC might just leave it on since it’s going up against NCIS and The Voice and they just need to trot out a sacrificial lamb rather than waste a quality show in that tough time slot. (Although, you’d think NCIS and The Voice could be taken down a notch if the alphabet network delivered something good.)

 

With a mix of improved writing and lowered expectations, the second episode of “Gotham” was a pleasant surprise. Well, I guess I shouldn’t say pleasant because the violence in the show is sometimes surprising for a show airing at 8pm but the second show made some strides from the disappointing premiere.
Yes, the show is still too on the nose when reminding us who the supervillains will be. Yes, Jada Pinkett-Smith still chews scenery like it’s going out of style. Yes, I’m still not wild about Ben McKenzie’s super-serious scowl but I felt like all of those things were less offensive than they were in the pilot.
The one issue the show does have, however, is that they only really have a couple of characters who can be in peril. Selina Kyle was in danger throughout the episode but you know she isn’t dying, she has to become Catwoman. Whenever Jim Gordon’s life is in danger, you know somethings has to happen because he has to become Commissioner. “Hannibal” had a similar issue and got around it by changing the Hannibal Lecter story and killing some characters who were supposed to survive. I’m not sure “Gotham” has that luxury because most of the character they’d have to kill are iconic.
“Gotham” still isn’t a good show but it’s basically moved from a bad pilot to a guilty pleasure and it could continue to improve once they establish the characters and their relationships more. I doubt this will be the monster hit that many had hoped but it could settle into a solid but unspectacular staple to the Fox lineup.

 

It’s always tough judging a series on a pilot. Pilots are difficult because they have to introduce the show’s premise, characters, and also fit in an Of the Week storyline. Also, the writers and actors are still getting a feel for what they are trying to do. Most shows usually have clunky pilots and then settle into their groove a few episodes in but sadly, few people have the time to give every show four or five hours of their life before judging them. So here’s my take on the latest new shows and their likelihood of finding their way and, possibly more importantly, the likelihood of surviving the season so you don’t invest hours on a show that will get canceled.

In short, here’s my ranking of the new shows (and one much improved returning show) so far:
1. How to Get Away with Murder: Fun pilot if you embrace the Shonda Silliness
2. Madam Secretary: Solid political drama
3. Agents of SHIELD: Not a new show but the new direction makes it much improved
4. Blackish: Just plain funny
5. Scorpion: A stupid show about geniuses but a fun ride
6. Selfie: Surprising pilot, not sure where it goes from there.
7. Forever: Bland but not bad.
8. Gotham: Most disappointing pilot so far. Potential is only reason it’s not in last place.
9. The Mysteries of Laura: Nice idea, lousy execution
10. A to Z: Not bad but not all that interesting or funny either.

Monday Night

Scorpion (CBS @ 9pm)
You can call this one “Fast and the Nerdiest”. This show is about a group of geniuses who work together to solve cases from kidnapping to terrorist attacks to, in the pilot, a computer glitch which could cause dozens of planes to crash. And while the show is about geniuses, you don’t need to be a genius to realize that what is happening in the show is pretty damn ridiculous. That being said, like the Fast and the Furious franchise, it’s high paced, interesting enough characters, and is a fun ride as long as you stash your brain in the glove compartment.
My guess is that this show fits perfectly in the CBS stable of procedurals and it doesn’t seem like it’s going to get cancelled as the premiere episode made it the #1 new drama. “Scorpion” isn’t exactly Must See TV but it’s a fun, well made hour of television that should prove to be a nice diversion at the end of the long Monday.

Gotham (Fox @ 8pm)
On the bright side, “Gotham” likely isn’t going anywhere. Fox has invested a lot of money on the Batman prequel and Netflix paid a hefty price to get the streaming rights to it so it would have to crash and burn to not see a second season. That being said, “Gotham” has a long way to go to avoid crashing and burning. The pilot was rife with problems, starting with the premise. For me, the appeal of “Gotham” was that we could watch the fall of a great city. How did Gotham get to the point where they needed a masked vigilante to save the day? Unfortunately, the show starts off with Gotham being kind of a shithole so really you’re just seeing how the city went from bad to really bad. The battle for the soul of the police department already seem to have been lost so that leaves us with what seems to be a police procedural based in Gotham, which isn’t all that interesting since none of the people who made the Dark Knight series interesting should be supervillains yet. The show awkwardly forces in villains like Penguin, Poison Ivy, Catwoman, and The Riddler but that fan service can only go so far. And then, of course, there’s the whole Bruce Wayne angle although I’m not sure how interesting that will be. I mean, it’s not like there can be much progress from him since the trauma of seeing his parents gunned down ultimately drives him to become a masked vigilante.
As for the bare bones aspects of the TV show, it’s even worse. The writing is unintentionally campy and the acting follows suit. Ben McKenzie seems miscast although, to be fair, I’m not sure anyone could make much of the dialogue he was given. Even the editing of the show seems off, with many of the reaction shots given too much lead. The show looks good but that is all it has going for it.
I’ll give Gotham a few more episodes but it is, without question, the most disappointing new show of the year. In fact, if it doesn’t get better, there’s a good chance that it does indeed crash and burn as it is in the toughest time slot against Big Bang Theory, The Voice, Dancing with the Stars, and Monday Night Football. Still, it would be pretty stunning if it didn’t see a second season.

Tuesday Night
Selfie (ABC @ 8pm)
I had low expectations for this one. The ads seemed annoying but I have to admit that I liked the unexpectedly offbeat vibe that the show had and, as a fan of romantic comedies, it kind of hit the right notes for me. The problem with the show is that the pilot felt like someone crammed a rom-com into 30 minutes and I’m not sure where you go from there. By the end of the pilot, lessons were learned, changes were beginning to be made. For the series to go on, it would seem as though lessons would have to be forgotten and characters would have to relapse.
The show hasn’t premiered yet (the pilot is available online) but I don’t have much faith in it seeing a second season. Hopefully ABC will figure this out sooner than later and let the show have a full first season and let it complete its story.

Forever (ABC @ 10pm)
Forever is about a man who can mysteriously live forever. He is trying to figure out why he is able to come back to life whenever he get killed so he can finally die and be at piece (he’s still broken up over the love of his life passing away decades ago.) He also has to hide who he is because if people find out that he lives forever, he becomes a lab rat and is tortuously tested upon. So now he works as an ME in a police department.
Convoluted premise aside, “Forever” didn’t have a bad pilot and the end of the show introduced the more interesting aspect of program – the lead isn’t the only person who can live forever. There is someone else out there and that person plans on having fun with his fellow Immortal and is going to act as an agent of evil to see if the good Immortal can stop him.
While the idea of battling Immortals is intriguing, one of the big problems for “Forever” is that the lead character simply isn’t all that interesting. And, seriously, someone is going to give up the gift of Immortality because they can’t get over a lost love? Every day, mortal people have to get over lost loved ones and get on with their lives.
The premiere ratings for “Forever” weren’t that hot and I can’t imagine they’ll get much better against Chicago Fire and Persons of Interest. Their one hope was to go for the younger demographic but they probably should have cast younger leads in that case. I might give it a few more episodes but I’m not expecting much in terms of improvement or, ironically, lifespan.

Agents of SHIELD (ABC @ 9pm)
This is not a new show but it might as well be. I tapped out of season 1 after a handful of episodes because I didn’t like the characters and the show had no real direction. While the character issue was the writers’ own doing, it became apparent after Captain America: Winter Soldier that the main problem with the first half of the SHIELD season was that the show had to tread water until the Captain America film tore SHIELD apart and gave the TV show a direction.
With season 2, the Agents of SHIELD find themselves on the run – a kind of high tech A-Team. The characters have a little more to them but season 2 really established itself by adding new team members who added some intrigue and also did a MUCH better job with the villains. The Absorbing Man in the season 2 premiere was by far the best job they’ve done with a supervillain (in the episodes I saw, at least.)
The show still has its issues but the first episode of season 2 rekindled my hope and I’ll be giving the Agents of SHIELD a second chance.

Wednesday Night

Blackish (ABC @ 9:30pm)
ABC’s new comedy from Larry Wilmore is just plain funny. The cast led by Anthony Anderson, Tracee Ellis Ross, and Laurence Fishburne is top notch with Ellis Ross absolutely nailing the unenviable role of being the grounded member of a comedy team. The kids are also especially funny. My only fear is that the show will focus a little too much on the racial element. Obviously (and sadly in the 21st century), there’s a lot of material to mine there but I think there needs to be a mix of universal problems and race related issues.
The pilot established the show as possibly my favorite comedy out right now (off the top of my head, I can’t remember a sit-com that I actually watch) so I’m definitely in for this one.

The Mysteries of Laura (NBC @ 8pm)
Besides Selfie, no show had lower expectations from me than The Mysteries of Laura. But, like Selfie, I was surprised by the pilot although, also like Selfie, that surprise doesn’t mean that the show is all that great or that it has a shot of staying on for long.
While it is based on a Spanish show, “The Mysteries of Laura” basically feels like someone decided to make a hour long, female driven dramedy version of Brooklyn 99. However, whereas Brooklyn 99 revels in its absurdity, “TMoL” doesn’t embrace it. Much of the show will lean towards absurd but then both of the first two episodes end with very serious scenes. The mix doesn’t work yet and it isn’t helped by the fact that the show is shot like a sitcom. Also, I’m not sure if Debra Messing was the best choice for the lead. She is funny in it but it just feels like Debra Messing playing a slouch. I feel like Judy Greer or Aisha Tyler might have done a better job selling the character (not that I’m calling either of those ladies slouches.)
Personally, I’m a fan of dramedies and wish there were more on television but The Mysteries of Laura seems to miss the mark. The premiere opened with 12 million views but they already lost 2 million viewers on episode 2 and I don’t foresee the drop in viewers ending any time soon. I might watch one more episode but this will be the first show to fall by the wayside and I could also see it get moved to a different timeslot. Wednesday at 8pm is a VERY winnable timeslot but I don’t see this show winning it for NBC.

Thursday Night

A to Z (NBC @ 8pm)
The pilot for this show was cute enough but it’s a show that claims it will detail the 8 month relationship of a couple (how will it end? Breakup? Engaged? Death?) but the couple are two caricatures and I’m not sure many people will be all that interested in the details of said relationship. The show feels like it is trying to appeal to the How I Met Your Mother crowd but I think they missed the mark. Again, it’s not a bad show but I just don’t see it gaining much support, especially since the show’s success will likely rely upon a huge female audience and it’s up against “Scandal”.

How to Get Away with Murder (ABC @ 10pm)
I have to admit, I’ve never been a Shonda Rimes fan. Not that I don’t like her but I never watched Grey’s Anatomy and I didn’t like the pilot of Scandal. The reason for the latter was because I wasn’t ready for the Shonda silliness. I wasn’t expecting a soap opera. But this time, knowing what I was getting into, I really enjoyed “How to Get Away with Murder.” Viola Davis is, yet again, a scene stealer and an absolute force on screen and the show did a great job introducing characters while drawing the audience into two different mysteries. This could be the best pilot of the year and, even better, the show is only 15 episodes and they are promising answers at the end of the season so there’s little chance of the stories being dragged out or there being a bunch of filler episodes. While I was pleasantly surprised by “Scorpion”, this is the only new show so far that has a shot of being the type of show that I can’t wait for the next episode.

Sunday Night

Madam Secretary (CBS @ 8pm)
I’m a sucker for Inside DC shows so Madam Secretary is right in my wheelhouse. On top of that, the show does have a sort of Good Wife feel to it – brilliant woman pushed into a high stress job while juggling her family’s issues and it doesn’t have the Will and Alicia dynamic which I was never a huge fan of. That being said, a LOT of people watched the show for that and I’m not sure if what Madam Secretary replaced it with, a conspiracy theory storyline that, so far, has been pushed to the back burner despite its major ramifications, seems like a little much for a mostly grounded show.
That being said, I’m a fan of Tea Leoni and the show seems to have followed the Good Wife’s lead and created interesting and enjoyable characters for the kids. I’m not sure if it’ll be much of a ratings success, especially in the key demo, but I’ll be watching each week regardless.

 

Well, it’s that time again. I start the season with a heart full of hope and a wallet full of money and then, well, yeah. Let’s just get to the picks.

SEATTLE -6 over Green Bay: Seattle has lost some players on defense but still present a formidable challenge for the Green Bay Packers who are, once again, healthy on offense. Strength vs. Strength makes for a great game but a scary bet. Also, Seattle has to deal with the infamous Super Bowl Hangover. Still, Seattle is a team that will be playing with a ton of emotion and has the personnel and coaching staff that can convince themselves that they are still being doubted and have something to prove. Add in the fact that Green Bay’s center is out for the game and I’ll take Seattle giving six here but the spread is big enough to get me to say NO BET.

New Orleans -3 over ATLANTA: Like Green Bay, Atlanta suffered a number of injuries on offense however I’m not so sure that they’ve recovered as well. Their offensive line still has issues and Steven Jackson isn’t getting any younger. I’m just not sure that they can keep up with the Saints defense (nor do I think their defense will be able to slow down Drew Brees and Co.). BET: $20

Minnesota +3.5 over ST. LOUIS: Call it a hunch, but I think Minnesota is going to unveil some new wrinkles to their offense than could keep St. Louis on their heels. And call it common sense but I’m not sure how well Shaun Hill and the No Name Receiving Corps of St. Louis will play. And call it cowardice but I have zero confidence in my ability to know what’s going on here so NO BET.

Cleveland +7 over PITTSBURGH: I always underestimate Pittsburgh at the start of the season. And I’m rooting for Brian Hoyer and Ben Tate. I think the Steelers win this game but I’m not sure they cover the 7. I’m not not sure enough, however, to put any money on it. NO BET.

PHILADELPHIA +11 over Jaguars: This is a sucker bet. 11 points on opening day? Still, the Eagles are a solid team and the Jaguars are not. I confess; I’m a sucker. BET: $10

NEW YORK -5.5 over Oakland: Chris Johnson, Mo-Jo Drew, and Darren McFadden all on the same field! With Michael Vick… near the field! Oh wait, I’m old and so are those guys. Once one realizes that 2014 is upon us and Geno Smith and Derek Carr are the starting QB, the game gets less interesting and the Under 40 seems tempting. But these two teams put up 57 points against one another last year and it’s not like the defenses are gangbusters either. So I’ll stick with going with the home team and betting against the team making the cross country trip and BET: $10.

Cincinnati -1.5 over BALTIMORE: I’m gonna be honest – I can never spell Cincinnati correctly on my first try. The single T always trips me up. I also just don’t like the Ravens and like them even less with a banged up Bernard Pierce filling in for Ray Rice. Cincy is just the better team so I’m going to BET: 15 dollars on Cincy to win straight up.

CHICAGO +7 over Buffalo: Buffalo is a sneaky team. I think they have a solid defense and some offensive weapons and EJ Manuel is good enough to not lose games. With the Bears defense looking like it might be taking a step back from last year’s step back, a seven point spread is tempting. Not tempting enough though. NO BET

HOUSTON -3 over Washington: This might be the toughest game to pick. I’m going to roll the dice on the home team and the better defense but NO BET.

KANSAS CITY -4 over Tennessee: The Titans are probably better than I think and I think Jake Locker is better than many others believe but I have faith in Alex Smith, Jamaal Charles, and Co. playing at home. BET $25

New England -5 over MIAMI: Miami always plays the Patriots tough but I think the Patriots should be focused as they have new looks on offense and defense. Ryan Tannehill did not look sharp in the preseason which could spell doom for Miami’s chances to put up any points. I usually try to stay away from betting the Patriots but I like this one. BET $25

TAMPA BAY -2.5 over Carolina: My gut said Carolina but with Cam’s injury, I’m going to side with caution and go with the Bucs to win. But since part of me believes in the Panthers, NO BET.

DALLAS +5 over San Francisco: I’m not sure if Dallas wins but with the Niners offense struggling on the field and their defense struggling off the field, they seem ripe for an upset. Yes, Dallas’s defense is awful but their offense is dynamic. If Tony Romo can stay upright, he should be able to keep the Cowboys close. And since it’s only September, he might even be able to sneak out a victory in crunch time. Still, I’m not betting on that ‘Boys defense so NO BET.

DENVER -7.5 over Indianapolis: Again, 7.5 is kind of a sucker bet. Anything can happen in Week 1 and I don’t think the Broncos will be putting up the kind of points that they did last season. But, again, I’m a sucker and as long as Indianapolis believes in Trent Richardson, I think they’ll be in trouble. BET: $10

DETROIT -6 over NY Giants: Whenever Tom Coughlin seems like he might be on the hot seat, the Giants come together and have a great season. I’m just not sure if Coughlin’s seat is hot enough nor do I think the Lions are pushovers, especially at home. The Flowers for Algernon career path of Eli Manning doesn’t seem like it’s ending its downward trend either and the running back corps doens’t leave much to be desired. I don’t love the -6 point spread because the Lions seem like they can always find a way to keep their opponents in the game but I’ll BET $15.

ARIZONA -3 over SAN DIEGO: I have no idea what to expect from San Diego this year. But I’ll BET $10 on Arizona simply because I think they’re focused on making the playoffs this year and are the home squad.

I also threw a $10 Progressive Parlay on Detroit, NE, KC, Cincy, NY Jets, Philly, Cleveland, and New Orleans along with a $25 parlay on Denver, Philly, NO, Detroit, and KC.

 

Here’s a pretty funny, very well made short featuring Nick Offerman as a disembodied, omniscient voice who interrupts a standard Western showdown.

 

Well, NBA GMs are now paralyzed in fear about Joel Embiid’s stress fracture. There’s no bigger red flag in the NBA than a big with bad feet and a bad back and he went from the likely #1 pick to someone who could fall to #6 or #7. Who will roll the dice on Embiid? And who moves up now that Cavs’ pick is possibly in play once again?

1. Cleveland Cavaliers: Andrew Wiggins
The draft starts off predictably enough with Andrew Wiggins arriving in Cleveland. A solid pick as Wiggins seems like a safe bet to at least be a solid starter in the NBA and he should be a strong defensive presence.

2. Cleveland Cavaliers via Milwaukee: Jabari Parker
I’m heading into this draft with two thoughts about the Cavs; 1) LeBron is not coming back and 2) Kyrie is probably going to be unhappy regardless and forcing a win now situation around him is likely to end in tears for Cavs fans.
With those thoughts in mind, the Cavs decide to shake things up and deal Kyrie Irving and Tristan Thompson for #2 pick and John Henson (and maybe a lotto protected 2015 pick).
For me, Kyrie and the #2 are about even for the Bucks and Cavs. While Jabari is an unknown, he’s an unknown whose rights the Cavs will control for about the next decade and the whole “Kyrie Stay!” movement can become Milwaukee’s problem. Milwaukee makes the deal because Kyrie fills their biggest needs (scoring and point guard) and he and Thompson will jump start a rebuild that was never supposed to be a rebuild. Kyrie, Knight/Mayo, The Greek Freak, Thompson, and Larry Sander/Zaza should be good enough to be a playoff team in the East IMO. Especially if they can make a deal for or sign a small forward.
The haggling over the pick will be because Thompson is better than Henson but I feel like both teams will be happy with the PF they acquired.
Cleveland starts fresh with: Wiggins, Parker, and Henson with Dion Waiters in the sixth man role he was born to play and head into the 2015 draft looking at a top pick, which is perfect since the draft is loaded with bigs. Dan Gilbert might want to win now but if he takes a step back this year, he could be opening up a much brighter future.

#3 Boston Celtics via Philadelphia: Dante Exum
Danny Ainge throws gasoline on the rumors of a Rajon Rondo to Sacramento deal by trading #6 and #17 to Philly for #3 and #39 and drafting the Australian Man of Mystery with the #3 pick. (This deal won’t be consummated until a certain someone falls to #6 but I can announce it now since I know that’ll happen.) With Kevin Love seemingly out of reach, Boston begins their complete tear down of the roster.

#4. Atlanta Hawks via Orlando: Noah Vonleh
In my last mock, I had Orlando going after Kevin Love but I think the better target is actually Al Horford. Horford’s under contract for two years, is a better fit with Nikola Vucevic, and is a Florida kid so he might be more likely to stay around than Love. The Magic trade #4, #12, Victor Oladipo and the non-guaranteed deals of Jameer Nelson and Jason Maxiell for Horford, Jeff Teague, Dennis Schroder and #15.
With Horford bolstering their viability as a team and 15 or so million in cap space, sunny Orlando is back to being a free agent destination. Even if they wait a year to make another splash, Orlando’s lineup of Vucevic, Horford, Harris, Afflalo, and Teague should be able to make some noise in the East.
Atlanta sells high on Horford before another injury or imminent free agency kills his trade value and they also move Teague who they somewhat inexplicably keep trying to get rid of. Vonleh’s rumored ability to hit the outside shot fits in with the Atlanta three-for-all offense and Paul Millsap should be a great mentor for him. Oladipo adds to Atlanta’s youth movement and lets them get younger while not necessarily getting much worse than they were last year. Orlando fans might not like adding Victor to the deal but let’s be honest, Vonleh is a complete wild card and Victor’s no sure thing to take the next step himself. You have to pay to go from a team that might someday be good to a team that will be good.

#5 Utah Jazz: Aaron Gordon
Gordon’s just too good of a fit with Utah for them to pass up.

#6. Philadelphia 76ers via Boston: Joel Embiid
The Sixers move down to get another first round pick and still end up with the guy they would have settled on at #3.

#7. LA Lakers: Julius Randle
I just don’t see LeBron and Carmelo going to LA. I don’t think those two and Kobe are a great fit (especially given Kobe’s decline on defense and Carmelo’s ambivalence about it) and I can’t see those two take less money while Kobe makes 25 million. Still, the chance is out there so the Lakers aren’t going to muddy up their cap space by dealing the #7 for a veteran.
Randle seems like the best fit. He comes off as a bit of a dope but I was impressed by his play in the tournament (he even showed some signs of life on defense) and I think that it’s very likely that the Lakers end up losing Pau Gasol this offseason.

#8. Boston Celtics: Marcus Smart
After years of rumors swirling around him, Rajon Rondo has finally been traded by the Boston Celtics. The C’s deal Rondo for #8, Ben McLemore and Jasons Terry & Thompson. Danny Ainge then has three choices to make: take Marcus Smart, take Doug McDermott, or trade the pick to Chicago or Phoenix for their picks. While the draftnik in me would love to get more picks to play with for the Celtics, I think Smart is the, well, smart choice. He has the highest upside and a Exum/Smart/McLemore backcourt could be something special in the future.
The Kings follow the Rondo trade by acquiring his buddy Josh Smith, which would make for a crazy but talented frontcourt of DeMarcus Cousins, Smith, and Rudy Gay as the Kings continue to make their push for the playoffs with other teams’ castaways.

#9. Phoenix Suns via Charlotte: Doug McDermott
The Hornets need shooters and a PF so they decide to get multiple picks rather than reliving the Adam Morrison nightmare. Phoenix deals #14 & #18 to moves up to #9 to grab McDermott, who should be able to open up the paint for Goran Dragic, Eric Bledsoe, and Alex Len (if he pans out.)

#10. Philadelphia 76ers: Gary Harris
Nik Stauskas is the better shooter but Harris’s defense gives him the nod over Nik. Harris isn’t flashy but he could be a great complement to Michael Carter-Williams.

#11.Denver Nuggets: Jusuf Nurkic
Nurkic is a foreign guy who I know next to nothing about. The “experts” seem to like Denver as a landing spot for him and, well, I don’t really care too much about the Nuggets so let’s throw him here.

#12. Atlanta Hawks via Orlando: Dario Saric
Supposedly Danny Ferry loves this kid which makes me think he won’t be very good but let’s give him to Danny and the Hawks. The Vonleh/Saric frontcourt could be the highest ceiling, biggest bust potential frontcourt (non-injury edition) in the NBA.

#13. Minnesota Timberwolves: Nik Stauskas
The Wolves replace Kevin Martin at the 2 and replenish their whiteness by adding Stauskas.

#14. Charlotte Hornets via Phoenix: James Young
If Gerald Green can become a player in Phoenix, there’s hope that young James will be able to put it together and live up to his potential. Also, the Hornets could use some shooters and that was Young’s M.O. in high school.

#15. Orlando Magic via Atlanta: Zach LaVine
The Magic are in Win Now mode but that doesn’t mean they can’t roll the dice on LaVine.

#16. Minnesota Timberwolves via Chicago: Elfrid Payton
The Wolves bite the bullet and deal Kevin Love to the Bulls for Carlos Boozer, Jimmy Butler, Nikola Mirotic, and the Bulls’ two picks. Word is that the Wolves brass isn’t wild about Ricky Rubio so they get Payton as a backup and potential heir to the starting spot.

#17. Philadelphia 76ers via Boston: Rodney Hood
The Sixers look at the small forward crop and while Hood might be a little slender for the position, his shooting ability gives him the nod over TJ Warren and KJ McDaniels.

#18. Charlotte Hornets via Phoenix: Adreian Payne
Josh McRoberts opted out which left a hole at the PF spot. The Bobcats will likely go after someone via free agency or trade but Payne fits what they need and should be a nice backup for them for years to come.

#19. Minnesota Timberwolves via Chicago: Clint Capela
The Wolves could use a defensive minded big man and that’s what the Swede does best. And getting mentored by Boozer and the Niks (Pekovic and Mirotic) should help his offensive game catch up to his defensive abilities.

#20. Toronto Raptors: Shabazz Napier
My dream is that Chris Bosh returns to Toronto but that probably won’t happen. What also probably won’t happen is Kyle Lowry heading back to the Great White North. And even if he does return, the Raptors could use a backup PG. Napier fills that role.

#21. Oklahoma City Thunder: PJ Hairston
Peej has his issues but he should be able to answer the call whenever Russell Westbrook or Kevin Durant kick the ball out to him.

#22. Memphis Grizzlies: KJ McDaniels
Now that Chris Wallace is back at the helm in Memphis, I think they go with the athletic, defensive stopper in McDaniels. He’s like a rich man’s Kedrick Brown. Just how rich? We’ll find out.

#23. Utah Jazz: Kyle Anderson
I just love the combo of Aaron Gordon and Anderson. With Favors in the middle, it could be one hell of a frontcourt.

#24. Charlotte Hornets: Tyler Ennis
The Bobcats finish filling up their roster issues by adding Ennis as a backup to Kemba Walker.

#25. Houston Rockets: Jordan Clarkson
Clarkson is a jack of all trades who could serve as backups to Patrick Beverly and James Harden.

#26. Miami Heat: TJ Warren
Having someone else on the second unit who could score might make things easier for the Heat.

#28. LA Clippers: Glenn Robinson III
The Clippers could use some backup bigs but they could use a starting SF as well. Not sure if GRIII will ever fulfill his potential but at this point in the draft, it’s worth the gamble.

#29. Oklahoma City Thunder: Jarnell Stokes
Stokes is smart and a hard worker and seems like a good candidate to replace Nick Collison.

#30. San Antonio Spurs: Spencer Dinwiddie
If the Spurs lose Patty Mills, Dinwiddie might be able to eat some of those minutes.

31: Milwaukee Bucks: Cleanthony Early
32: Philadelphia 76ers: Nikola Jokic
33: Cleveland Cavaliers: Semaj Christon
34: NY Knicks: Mitch McGary
35: Utah Jazz: Khem Birch
36: Milwaukee Bucks: CJ Wilcox
37: Toronto Raptors: Johnny O’Bryant
38: Detroit Pistons: Bryce Cotton
39. Boston via Philly: Walter Tavares
40. Minnesota Timberwolves: Damien Inglis
41: Denver Nuggets: Jordan Adams
42: Houston Rockets: Artem Klimenko
43: Atlanta Hawks: Patric Young
44: Minnesota Timberwolves: Bogdan Bogdanovic
45: Charlotte Hornets: Dwight Powell
46: Washington Wizards: Jerami Grant
47: Philadelphia 76ers: Vasilje Micic
48: Milwaukee Bucks: Joe Harris
49: Chicago Bulls: Christiano Felicio
50: Phoenix Suns: James Michael McAdoo
51: New York Knicks: CJ Fair
52: Philadelphia 76ers: Alessandro Gentile
53: Minnesota Timberwolves: Nemanja Dangubic
54: Philadelphia 76ers: Thanasis Antetokounmpo
55: Miami Heat: Nick Johnson
56: Denver Nuggets: Russ Smith
57: Indiana Pacers: Jordan McRae
58: San Antonio Spurs: Michalis Kamperidis
59: Toronto Raptors: Josh Huestis
60: San Antonio Spurs: DeAndre Daniels

 

Just ten months ago, the 2014 NBA draft was the light at the end of the tunnel for many NBA franchises. It was the draft that was going to supply them with the key to the door to the playoffs. It was their reason for tanking. It was going to be the beginning of a brighter future.
And then, as the months passed, most of the heralded prospects exposed their flaws or didn’t show much of anything at all. The one prospect to break out, Joel Embiid, was then struck down by a back injury, a red flag for any big man prospect.
So now, rather than eagerly anticipating a draft for the ages, most front offices are looking towards another light. The 2014 draft is now stuck in the shadows of LeBron James, Carmelo Anthony, Chris Bosh’s potential free agency and a possible Kevin Love trade. The draft that was one supposed to redefine woeful franchises is now hinging on the likelihood of a franchises getting Love, ‘Melo, Bosh, and LeBron to sign with them. But there’s still gonna be a draft in a few days, and teams have to make their picks, so we might as well mock it up.

1. Cleveland Cavaliers: Joel Embiid
There’s some talk of Cleveland shipping the #1 to Minnesota for Kevin Love but, at this point, it would be foolish for the Cavs to do so. The only way I see Love staying in Cleveland is if LeBron comes back home and it’s too early to bet on that happening. If they land Love and don’t get LeBron, they’ll be adding a potentially unhappy franchise player to a locker room that was so fractured that it had Luol Deng looking to get out of Dodge after just a few games after he was traded there.
The Cavs could try to scare Philadelphia, who is supposedly hot after Andrew Wiggins, into moving up to #1 but I don’t think Philly should really offer much to do that. I think the top three prospects (Wiggins, Embiid, and Jabari Parker) are even so I wouldn’t be too upset if I missed out on Wiggins and landed the other two.
When all is said and done, Embiid seems like the best pick for the Cavs. He plays the hardest to fill position, showed the most potential, and is likely to have the most trade value should the Cavs want to make a deal in the weeks following the draft.
And, of course, after I post this, Embiid injures his foot, throwing his draft status into further disarray. I still think he lands in the top three but the order of this might switch to 1. Wiggins, 2. Parker, 3. Embiid should Joel’s foot injury prove to be serious.

2. Milwaukee Bucks: Jabari Parker
Simply put, the Bucks need offense and Jabari Parker is instant offense. I see Jabari as a poor man’s ‘Melo or a Michael Beasley with his head on straight. He’s probably best served as a #2 guy but he’s the best fit in Milwaukee alongside Sanders, Henson, and The Greek Freak Giannis Antetokounmpo.

3. Philadelphia 76ers: Andrew Wiggins
Unless they are too afraid to call Cleveland’s bluff and trade up for Wiggins, Philly has the easiest position in the draft. All they have to do is take which of the top three prospects is remaining. It’ll be a long year of growing pains and losses for the Sixers but one more year of tanking and they should have a roster chock full of young talent.

4. Minnesota Timberwolves*: Noah Vonleh
Orlando trades #4, #12, Tobias Harris, Jameer Nelson, and Jason Maxiell for Kevin Love
If Philly has the easiest decision, Orlando might have the most difficult. Dante Exum is the consensus #4 pick but he’s a complete wildcard with more negative assessments starting to creep out as the draft nears. Maybe it’s misinformation, maybe it’s the truth finally bubbling to the surface but either way, Exum seems to be a project and I think Orlando is a team that should look to start pushing their chips in and build a winning team. Kevin Love helps them achieve the first step towards winning and makes Orlando a far more appealing destination for free agents.
The Wolves toy with the idea of trading #4 since they don’t need Exum but they ultimately decide to take Vonleh, who could be Kevin Love’s replacement (clearly not as good on offense but most likely more effective on defense.)

5. Utah Jazz: Aaron Gordon
With the Jazz just spending last year’s lotto pick on Trey Burke and about to spend a lot of money to re-sign Gordon Hayward, Dante Exum doesn’t seem like the best pick. Instead, the Jazz select Aaron Gordon, who will fill the void at small forward and add some much needed defense and athleticism. He also has a high hoops IQ and comes across as the kind of hard working kid that the Jazz would love to build around.

6. Boston Celtics: Dante Exum
Missing out on Kevin Love destroys the hopes and dreams of many Celtics fans but, in the most meager of consolation prizes, Boston lands the Australian prodigy. With no Love on the horizon and Rajon Rondo on an expiring contract, Danny Ainge starts working the phones to see where he can send his mercurial point guard.

7. Los Angeles Lakers: Julius Randle
The Lakers strike out in their bid for Rondo and end up with Julius Randle, who will assume the PF mantle from Pau Gasol, who I can’t imagine has much interest in returning to the Kobethon.

8. Boston Celtics*: Doug McDermott
Sacramento deals #8, Ben McLemore, Jason Thompson, and Jason Terry for Rajon Rondo, the Clippers 2015 pick.
(While the exact deal might be off, I do think Rondo to Sacramento does have a shot if Ainge decides to go in the Trade Rondo route.)
In their (inexplicable) hopes to keep Rudy Gay in town, the Kings go after his buddy Rajon Rondo to run the point. At the very least, this could get Rudy to opt in to his player option so he and Rajon see how Sacramento fits them. #8 and McLemore is rich for Rondo but this is the Kings we are talking about and they are also dumping Jason Thompson’s contract onto the Celtics. The Celtics move forward with the backcourt of Exum, McLemore, and McDermott and Celtics fans start scouting the top prospects of the 2015 draft.

9. Atlanta Hawks*: Dario Saric
Charlotte trades #8 for #15 and Atlanta’s lotto protected 2015 first
Danny Ferry is supposedly hot for Dario Saric and I’d bet that he’d see next year’s pick as a small price to pay to move up to get him. Charlotte doesn’t see anyone at 9 that wows them so they gladly take a step back to land an extra pick/trade asset.

10. Philadelphia 76ers: Marcus Smart
A Carter-Williams/Smart backcourt lacks consistent shooting but they’ll be able to get to the hole and a Smart/Wiggin/Noel trio could turn the Sixers from one of the worst defenses in the NBA to one of the best (well, not right away, but eventually.)

11. Denver Nuggets: Gary Harris
Denver tries to deal this pick to add a veteran but all of the players available at this pick, like the players on the Nuggets’ roster, are good but not great and not someone you’d give up a top player for. To me, Harris has always seemed like a perfect fit for the Nuggets.

12. Minnesota Timberwolves*: Nik Stauskas
Stauskas adds some depth at the 2 guard spot for the Wolves and supplies Ricky Rubio with another shooter to dish to (and maybe to help teach him how to shoot.)

13. Minnesota Timberwolves: James Young
James Young was one of those players who, the more you saw of him, the less you knew what to think of him. He had some games in which he looked like the dumbest guy on the floor and then there were other times when you could see him possibly developing into a borderline All-Star small forward. Either way, his potential is too good for the Wolves to pass up, especially since he fills a need at the SF spot for them. While they won’t be ready next year, the trio of Vonleh, Stauskas, and Young could prove to be great complements to Rubio and Nikola Pekovic.

14. Phoenix Suns: Elfrid Payton
Goran Dragic can (and will) opt out of his contract next year so it would behoove the Suns to land a backup PG while they can. The choice comes down to Payton vs Zach LaVine. Payton is the more pure point guard, which is what the team needs more.
However, the Suns’ picks could be on the move if Phoenix decides to make a run at Carmelo Anthony or LeBron James. If the Suns can land a good big man or someone like Josh Smith, then I think a Dragic, Bledsoe, Smith, Alex Len/Miles Plumlee lineup might be the best landing spot for ‘Melo.

15. Charlotte Hornets*: Adreian Payne
Josh McRoberts opted out of his contract and when Josh McRoberts opting out of his contract really shakes up your team, then you know it’s probably time to invest in drafting a power forward. Payne is a great get as he can stretch the floor with his shooting ability and has the size to take the more difficult defensive matchup, leaving Al Jefferson to handle the easier load on that end of the floor.

16. Chicago Bulls: Rodney Hood
This isn’t just a great fit for the team, it’s potentially a perfect one for the player’s future as well. The Bulls are looking for a shooter and Hood is one of the best in the draft. He has the size and athleticism to be a strong defender and if anyone is going to bring that out of him, it’s Bulls coach Tom Thibidou.

17. Boston Celtics: Clint Capela
Capela is another foreign wildcard but his strength is defense and any team with Doug McDermott and Kelly Olynyk on it is going to need an eraser in the paint.

18. Phoenix Suns: Zach LaVine
TJ Warren seems like a good fit but I think the Suns roll the dice with LaVine, whose ceiling is through the roof but could very easily be out of the league at the end of his rookie deal. But if Jeff Hornacek could help Gerald Green turn into a player, perhaps he can work similar magic on LaVine.

19. Chicago Bulls: Jusuf Nurkic
The Bulls could use a new backup to Joakim Noah or they could tell Nurkic to stay overseas for a year to help keep the salary cap space open for Carmelo Anthony.

20. Toronto Raptors: Tyler Ennis
Kyle Lowry might fly the coop and while Ennis won’t be able to fill his shoes, the Canadian kid playing for the Raptors just seems like too perfect a fit.

21. Oklahoma City Thunder: PJ Hairston
The Jeremy Lamb Era hasn’t exactly panned out and Thabo Sefalosha has seen better days so the Thunder try out another player to fill the James Harden-shaped hole in their lineup. Hairston is no Harden but he could fit the Thunder’s needs.

22. Memphis Grizzlies: TJ Warren
The Grizz could use a potential Z-Bo replacement but what they need most is a small forward and TJ Warren fills that spot and could also help the Grizz’s offense be a bit more potent.

23. Utah Jazz: Kyle Anderson
Flanked by Aaron Gordon and Derrick Favors, the kid they call Slo-Mo might not be the defensive issue that people fear. A low post scorer like Jarnell Stokes might make more sense but adding Anderson to this team makes them a squad that I would try to check out on League Pass.

24.Charlotte Hornets: Jordan Clarkson
Clarkson would be a nice fit as a sixth man in Charlotte as he could both spell Kemba Walker or play alongside him.

25. Houston Rockets: KJ McDaniels
He plays defense.

26. Miami Heat: Shabazz Napier
It would be difficult for ‘Bazz, even as a rookie, to play worse than Mario Chalmers did in the Finals.

27. Phoenix Suns: Jarnell Stokes
Seems like he could be a workmanlike Carl Landry-type power forward, which the Suns could use off of the pine.

28. LA Clippers: Cleanthony Early
The Clippers main hole is at the small forward spot. Early seems to be the best fit of the remaining SFs.

29. Oklahoma City: Mitch McGary
Could be Nick Collison 2.0.

30. San Antonio Spurs: Nick Johnson
Seems like he could spell Manu next year.

 
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