Week Six Football Pix
After a rough start to the season but a bounce back last week, I'm going to put my money where my blog is and start posting up my bets to keep track of how I do with my bets.
LOCK OF THE WEEK: When a line seems too good to be true, you should probably stay away from it. That's advice that I just can't seem to adhere to. So this week, I'm going to bet on the Saints as they go marching into Tampa Bay. The Bucs offense is a bit of a mess and now they're without their leading rusher. Their defense is also in shambles and I could see New Orleans putting a whooping on them.
WAGER: $125 on Saints -4.5 over BUCS
UPSET SPECIAL: I'm 100% on the Curtis Painter Whoo-ride bandwagon and I just don't like this Bengals team. I've watched more of this team that I should have because I have Cedric Benson on my fantasy football team and I am never impressed. Their biggest advantage over the Colts would be Benson vs. the Colts porous run defense but I don't have a ton of faith in Cincy to take advantage of it. Also, you have a number of players in Indianapolis who, with Manning and Addai out, are ready to step out of the spotlight. I wouldn't be surprised it Donald Brown and Delone Carter outplayed Cedric Benson and Bernard Scott and Curtis Painter looked better than Red Dalton.
WAGER: $50 on Colts +270 over BENGALS
TEASER OF THE WEEK: If the Colts don't show up, they could ruin my weekend (well, to a certain extent) as I also have them in my 6 point teaser. +13 for the Colts seem reasonable simply because I can't see the Bengals putting up a ton of points and, while the Cincy defense is highly ranked statistically, I could see Painter and the Colts keeping pace. As for my other picks in this one, I took the PACKERS -8 over the Rams, Saints +.5 over the Bucs, and RAVENS -1.5 over the Texans. I was feeling good about this one (although I'm second guessing it a bit now because of the inclusion of the Colts) and put $75 bucks on it to win $225.
RANDOM I also have 15 bucks thrown on random 10 or 11 team Progressive Parlays and 15 dollars on a 7 team parlay of Colts, Lions, Steelers, Packers, Saints, Ravens, and Bears to win outright.
Obviously, I put a little too much faith into the Colts (I prefer spreading out my bets so one loss doesn't wipe out a number of my parlays). My mistake was not rechecking my bets. I jumped early on the Colts and Saints wager and then today when I set down the other bets, I forgot that I had already laid 50 down on the Colts to win. On the bright side, it gives me a reason to root hard for one of the early games this week.)
SUNDAY MORNING EDIT: Added a couple of bets, $50 6 point teaser on Bills/Giants OVER 44, Pats/Cowboys OVERS 49.5, and Philly/Washington OVER 41. (A little nervous about the Pats but I think it's a solid bet.)
