Apparently I posted up the wrong picks last week since the games listed on the pic that went up didn't match last week's slate. In that case, I'll pretend that the last minute switches I made on a couple of games salvaged my week (like it did for my Yahoo! league where I got 9 right to take the lead.) For the season, I'm now 118 - 99.

This week, the hardest game to peg was the Lions/Dolphins. The Dolphins should play like a team possessed but they should have played like that last week as well. And now they are out of the playoffs so they actually don't have anything to play for whereas the Lions are trying to string together a nice win streak. And the Lions line should probably keep the Fins running game in check which means a lot depends on Chad Henne so the Lions should be able to keep it very close or win outright so I'm taking them +3.
All that being said, watch the Dolphins show up and blow the doors off of Detroit.

I'm like 4 - 9 - 1 or something equally demoralizing when picking the Saints this year and I'll probably screw that one up again since I'm betting on my lack of faith in the Falcons and taking New Orleans +3. The Falcons are sitting pretty atop the NFC while the Saints are fighting for their playoffs lives so you'd think New Orleans would bring their A game. But I've just been completely incapable of pegging which N'Awlins squad will show up.

In a lot of games, I thought the matchups were a toss up and I opted for the underdog and the points. The Titans +5 over Kansas City, the Radiers +3 over Indianapolis, the Seahawks +6 over the Bucs, the Niners +2 over St. Louis (I have a feeling that Sam Bradford might have hit the rookie wall.)

My lock of the week (which is why I probably can't bet on the game right now outside of the perfect parlay) is Houston +3 over the Broncos. I am a bit nervous about the fact that the Broncos will have a some second stringers in Tebow and Lance Ball trying to make a name for themselves and the Texans are disappointed with their season but I have to think that Houston is simply better and should be able to win by 3 or more.

The Pats should be refocused after almost blowing the game against Green Bay so -9 against the Bills should be doable. No Troy Polamalu and potential low scoring game makes me take the Panters +14 against the Steelers. Who knows what the Bengals are up to but the Chargers seem like they are back and I think they should be able to handle Cincy no problem and cover the -7. That game is close to being a lock IMO. Ditto for Dallas vs. Arizona although if Dallas's defense takes the second half off like it did last week, who knows what might happen. I don't see Jacksonville resting like Dallas so I think Washington fails to come with -7. The Bears came off a big win and sealed their division so I could see a let down against the revitalized Jets, who might also rally around their beleaguered coach and his wife. (Although, maybe their into getting kicked while their down.) Philly should trounce Minnesota.

Finally, the NY Giants vs. Green Bay is a tough one but the Giants' problem is that they make too many mistakes and the Packers defense is one that usually won't let teams get away with making mistakes. (I write usually because they dropped like three interceptions last weekend against the Pats.) My one concern about taking the Packers is that the Giants defense could very well knock Rodgers out of the game and I don't think they'll be taking Matty Flynn as lightly as the Pats did. Still I'm going to go with the Packers... for now.

Betting wise, this has been a so-so year and I'm down a little because I always get greedy and add one team too many to my parlays. But it's been a wild year of NFL (and even wilder in terms of fantasy football) and I'm sad that it's coming to an end.