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Week 7

Even though I've been on a roll, I'm not really loving this week in terms of betting. I feel comfortable with my picks but not enough to wager big money. Here's my perfect parlay.

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The game I like the most is the Steelers -3 over the Dolphins. The Fins aren't pushovers but I think the Steelers are hitting on all cylanders right now and Chad Henne isn't going to be able to beat that defense.
I'm going to break from my rule about betting the Pats and go with Patriots +3. I know it's a long trip and all that but the Chargers are overrated and Malcolm Floyd and Antonio Gates are banged up. I don't see the Patriots letting up, especially since they are trying to get their offense together.

The rest of the games? It's wide open.
Who knows which Bengals team is going to show up but I like the Falcons at home.
I think Tennesee's defense is going to scare the bejeezus out of Kevin Kolb and take cheap shots at LeSean McCoy's ribs so I'll go with them.
I'm going to put my faith in Washington and also I like betting against Jay Cutler.
The Saints and Ravens -13 is a lot to ask for but the Browns have a rookie QB and banged up running back and receiving corps while the Bills are just flat out terrible and the Ravens should be mad after last week's loss.
Tampa Bay is coming back down to Earth and the Rams are more of a legit threat.
The Niners? Am I really going to pick them again? I think we could be seeing a Matt Moore resurgence but I'll go with San Fran, which means I probably should go with Carolina.
I'm not in a believer in Max Hall and think Seattle should be able to handle the Cards.
Denver should be fired up to get back on the winning track and get Knowshon Moreno some good reps so they should be able to handle Oakland.
Giants/Cowboys is a toss up in every way, shape, or form but I think the Giants will do enough to win and the 'Boys will do more than enough to lose. Ditto for Vikings/Green Bay but I just feel like Minnesota is going to reel off some wins and get back into the thick of things. I also don't know if Aaron Rodgers makes it out of this game alive.

As for my bets, I have 40 bucks on the Pats -3 and 25 on them to win outright (+120). $25 dollars on the Steelers to beat the Dolphins. 10 buck parlay on the Rams and Washington to win outright and another 10 dollar parlay on the points with the Ravens, Saints, Seahawks, Broncos, and Steelers. I might put a bet on the Ravens (hate betting on the Saints right now) but I'm not sold on it just yet.


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