CONTEST: Summer Box Office Contest
Thank goodness nobody took me up on my Summer Box Office challenge. I've been pretty far off on most of my picks. Let's take a look at the films that have already come out.
10. Wolverine: 205 million: Wolverine has made 173 million and I can't imagine it is still playing in many theaters so I probably will end up being off by 30 million. This has to be a disappointing take for the film but that, of course, won't stop Marvel.
9. Angels and Demons: 207 million: I really wanted to lowball this one but I decided to go with Tom Hanks and the Christian imagery to make over 200 million. The movie has made 116 million and only around 6.5 million this weekend so 200 million isn't happening. 150 million probably won't even happen. No way this film finishes in the Top 10.
7. Night at the Museum 2 - 218 million
It added 15 million this weekend to bump up to 137 million but 200 million is looking like it might be out of reach. On the bright side, Land of the Lost tanked so that won't offer up much competition but it's still looking like I overshot this prediction.
6. Up - 220 million
It's only taken two weekends for Up to make 117 million and they made a strong 44 million in the second weekend (dropping on 38%) so there still might be hope for this being the second 200 million dollar film of the Summer of '09. I'm not sure about 220 but this film looks to be a lock for the Top 10. Don't bet against Pixar.
5. Terminator: Salvation - 245 million
The trailer fooled me. I'll admit it. Apparently I was the only one who fell for it as it has taken three weeks for the film to just cross 100 million.
4. Star Trek - 265 million
Star Trek is at around 225 million so this is probably my best guess. It has more staying power than Wolverine so it'll probably get closer to my predicted box office than 30 million.
Still, in terms of a Top 10, I'm looking OK. The only movie that I might have missed on so far is "The Hangover" opened at 40+ million and has a decent chance to crack the Top 10. It made about the same amount as Terminator: Salvvation did on opening weekend and it has a lot better word of mouth. As it should since it is one of the better movies this year whereas Terminator was one of the worst. Well, worst of the ones I saw.
